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HOME›TEAMS›LOUISIANA TECH›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
SUN BELT|SONNY CUMBIE|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
LOUISIANA TECH116 FPISBC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
1%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#880 BC / 12
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.2-7.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.9
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE18
PERFORMANCE18
TALENT43
CONTINUITY1
DEFENSE7
PERFORMANCE7
TALENT51
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
43MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AMISSOURI—L 24-52786767-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HSTEPHEN F. AUSTIN—W 52-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17ACLEMSON#13L 20-48979191-83BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ASOUTH ALABAMA—L 14-38377575-67BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HUTEP—W 41-31102525-17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ANORTH TEXAS—L 27-47454444-36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HRICE—L 41-42281212-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 34-423422+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HMIDDLE TENNESSEE—W 40-24263232-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AUTSA—L 7-51466464-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19ACHARLOTTE—L 21-26411010-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUAB—L 27-37294747-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB51TAL9PERF52RET0ONE OWNERn=4 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
PARKER MCNEILQB SENO SNAPS
UNR★37248%+39EMERGED
18
LANDRY LYDDYQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★36328%+25HELD
7
MATTHEW DOWNINGQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★25416%-18EMERGED
10
JACK TURNERQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—397%-32—
19
ANDREW BRISTERQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
LONNIE RATLIFF IVQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL52PERF55RET12ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
MARQUIS CROSBYRB SERET
★3★39260%-1HELD
22
CHARVIS THORNTONRB JURET
★3★37428%+22HELD
25
GREG GARNERRB SERET
UNR—5210%-44—
23
HARLAN DIXONRB SORET
★3★3252%-35HELD
21
KEYON HENRY-BROOKSRB JURET
★3★300%-37HELD
23
KELDRIC MOODYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE72TAL45PERF73RET65ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TRE HARRISWR SERET
★3★49328%+31ROSE
6
SMOKE HARRISWR SERET
★3—9127%+9—
17
NATE JONESWR SENO SNAPS
★2—7752%-21—
4
CYRUS ALLENWR SENO SNAPS
★3★37316%+34HELD
5
GRIFFIN HEBERTTE SERET
★2—7244%+51—
18
JULIEN LEWISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—6510%-11—
9
KYLE MAXWELLWR SERET
★3★36510%-44HELD
TAHJ MAGEEWR JURET
★3—494%-40—
14
PRAISE OKORIEWR SERET
UNR—412%——
81
IVAN THOMASTE JURET
UNR—274%——
2
SOLO LEWISWR JURET
★3★3261%—HELD
16
TRU EDWARDSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★4251%—EMERGED
8
DEVONTA LEEWR SENO SNAPS
★4—100%-53—
12
MATTHEW MCCALLISTERWR JURET
UNR—70%——
44
JOHN LOCKE JR.TE JUNO SNAPS
★3★340%—HELD
83
KENDRICK RUCKERTE SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
6
ZYION CLAVILLEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
28
BUD HOLLOWAYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
TANNER OLIVERTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
9
MARLION JACKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
▸OL49TAL40PERF49RET15n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL48TAL59PERF48RET87n=8 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
▸LB42TAL46PERF42RET41n=5 · 11 METRICS · 41 OBS
▸DB59TAL48PERF59RET33n=9 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS12 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEANTHONY GATSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JHAMAL SHELBY JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KESHLON JACKSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
O'RYAN JAMESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ZY FORDHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ZYION CLAVILLEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEVONTAE MOZEEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
LANDRY LYDDYHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
BUCK BUCHANANHS RECRUITK★3UNR
KENDRICK RUCKERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT25 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BUB MEANSPITTSBURGHWR★3UNR
LEVI BELLTEXAS STATEDLUNR★3
BEN BELLTEXAS STATEDL★3★3
JAMISON KELLYELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
TREY BALDWINELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
WILLIE BAKERELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
ZACH HANNIBALELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
ERIC KENDZIORELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
EZEKIEL BARNETTELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ELIJAH HAMILTONELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#88NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 12 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8450COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST27% BACK27th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG27% BACK27th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR15%15th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST33%33th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE