SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISVILLE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|LORENZO WARD|—RECORD2-10|CONF—
LOUISVILLE103 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#303 BC / 22
BC RATIO
23%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-10ACTUALvs1.6-10.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-24.3
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AALABAMA#2L 14-5199100100-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HINDIANA STATE—W 31-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 20-17191414+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AVIRGINIA—L 3-27536868-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HFLORIDA STATE—L 24-28964646-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HGEORGIA TECH—L 31-66654343-18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 20-38505252-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HWAKE FOREST—L 35-56505656-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ACLEMSON#1L 16-77979898-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9ASYRACUSE#15L 23-54617070-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HNC STATE—L 10-52717474-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HKENTUCKY#12L 10-56778181-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MALIK CUNNINGHAMQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
SEAN MCCORMACKQB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
JAWON PASSQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
13
JORDAN TRAVISQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
DREW ZAUBIQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
13
CLAY BOLINQB —RET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET30NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
DAE WILLIAMSRB JURET
★2—00%——
7
TREY SMITHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
JAVIAN HAWKINSRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
HASSAN HALLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
34
JEREMY SMITHRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
COLIN WILSONRB FRRET
★4—00%——
36
MAURICE BURKLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
TAVEON GRAVESRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
VINCE LOCOCOFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
JORDAN DAVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
EMONEE SPENCEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DEVANTE PEETEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SETH DAWKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
TUTU ATWELLWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
DEZ FITZPATRICKWR SERET
★4—00%——
KEION WAKEFIELDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
83
MICKY CRUMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JAYLEN SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
COREY REEDWR SERET
★3—00%——
1
KEMARI AVERETTTE SERET
★3—00%——
14
MARCUS RILEYWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
15
TYLER HARRELLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
EAN PFEIFERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
26
CHRIS TAYLOR-YAMANOHAWR JURET
★3—00%——
27
TOBIAS LITTLETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
JUSTIN MARSHALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
JEFFREY BANKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
ISAAC MARTINTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
JORDAN THOMASWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
HUNTER CROWETE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
JATAVIOUS HARRISWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
JACK DUANEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
32
JACOB ABLESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
KEION WAKEFIELDWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAIRUS BRENTSHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
ROBERT HICKSHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
TRENELL TROUTMANHS RECRUITS★4UNR
MARCUS RILEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CHANDLER JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JATAVIOUS HARRISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ALLEN LOVEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
THURMAN GEATHERSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
TUTU ATWELLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
YASIR ABDULLAHHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAAC STEWARTTHE CITADELLBUNRUNR
TRAVEON SAMUELTROYWRUNRUNR
TREVON YOUNGNFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
JAIRE ALEXANDERNFL DRAFT R1CBUNR—
LAMAR JACKSONNFL DRAFT R1QB★4—
GERON CHRISTIANNFL DRAFT R3OLUNR—
JONATHAN GREENARDELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
HARRY TROTTERELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
STACY THOMASNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DE'ASIAN RICHARDSONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#30NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8508COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE