SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISVILLE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|SCOTT SATTERFIELD|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
LOUISVILLE54 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
73FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#691 BC / 14
BC RATIO
17%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.8-6.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.2
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HNOTRE DAME#12L 17-35918686-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HEASTERN KENTUCKY—W 42-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 38-21415656-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AFLORIDA STATE—L 24-35965757-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 41-39532929+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AWAKE FOREST—W 62-59535858-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HCLEMSON#2L 10-45949898-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HVIRGINIA—W 28-21586767-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AMIAMI—L 27-52887676-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ANC STATE—W 34-20742727+26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HSYRACUSE—W 56-34554141+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30AKENTUCKY—L 13-45767474-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MALIK CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
JAWON PASSQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
6
EVAN CONLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
17
WILL WARRENQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
3
CHRISTIAN PEREZQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
MICALE CUNNINGHAMQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET32NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JAVIAN HAWKINSRB SORET
★3—00%——
3
HASSAN HALLRB SERET
★3—00%——
36
MAURICE BURKLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
DAE WILLIAMSRB JURET
★2—00%——
39
TAVEON GRAVESRB SORET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN MITCHELLRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
AIDAN ROBBINSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
39
TAVEN GRAVESRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
JORDAN DAVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
EAN PFEIFERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DEVANTE PEETEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SETH DAWKINSWR SERET
★3—00%——
27
TOBIAS LITTLETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
TUTU ATWELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
7
DEZ FITZPATRICKWR SERET
★4—00%——
KEION WAKEFIELDWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
41
ISAAC MARTINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
48
JORDAN THOMASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
THOMAS JACKSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JUSTIN MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
MARSHON FORDTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
EMONEE SPENCEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
CHRIS TAYLOR-YAMANOHAWR JURET
★3—00%——
80
JEFFREY BANKSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
HUNTER CROWETE SORET
UNR—00%——
15
TYLER HARRELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
DEZ MELTONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
MICAH LOWEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CHRIS NUCKOLSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
FRANCIS SHERMANTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
8
KEION WAKEFIELDWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JA'DARIEN BOYKINHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
ZACH WILLIAMSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ZACH EDWARDSHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JAMEL STARKSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DORIAN JONESHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
AIDAN ROBBINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RENATO BROWNHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ALLEN SMITH JR.HS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JALEN MITCHELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOSHUA BLACKHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TREY SMITHWYOMINGRBUNRUNR
AARON FLOYDCHATTANOOGACBUNRUNR
JORDAN TRAVISFLORIDA STATEQB★3UNR
MICKY CRUMELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
HENRY FAMUREWAELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DEE SMITHELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JAYLEN SMITHELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
LONDON IAKOPOELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
LINWOOD FOYELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
COREY REEDELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#69NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8558COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE