SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›LOUISVILLE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|SCOTT SATTERFIELD|—RECORD4-7|CONF—
LOUISVILLE38 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
65FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#420 BC / 21
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
4-7ACTUALvs6.2-4.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.9
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
56MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
2SEP 12HWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 35-21393636+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19HMIAMI#22L 34-47898585-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26APITTSBURGH—L 20-23746969+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9AGEORGIA TECH—L 27-46794242+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17ANOTRE DAME#5L 7-12949797-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HFLORIDA STATE—W 48-16903232+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HVIRGINIA TECH—L 35-42768888-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AVIRGINIA—L 17-31545151+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HSYRACUSE—W 30-0531919+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 27-34595151+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HWAKE FOREST—W 45-21525050+21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MALIK CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
★3—00%——
4
JAWON PASSQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
6
EVAN CONLEYQB SERET
★3—00%——
17
WILL WARRENQB FRRET
UNR—00%——
9
TEE WEBBQB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
13
BRADEN CARNESQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JAVIAN HAWKINSRB SORET
★3—00%——
3
HASSAN HALLRB SERET
★3—00%——
36
MAURICE BURKLEYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JALEN MITCHELLRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
AIDAN ROBBINSRB JURET
★3★400%—ROSE
35
JAMEL STARKSRB FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
13
GREG DESROSIERS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
39
MALACHI YULEERB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
EAN PFEIFERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
TUTU ATWELLWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
ROSCOE JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
DEZ FITZPATRICKWR SERET
★4—00%——
41
ISAAC MARTINTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
JUSTIN MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
JOSH JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
MARSHON FORDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
45
DUANE MARTINTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
JORDAN WATKINSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
44
FRANCIS SHERMANTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
BRADEN SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
27
TOBIAS LITTLETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
COREY REEDWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
48
JORDAN THOMASWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
TYLER HARRELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
88
DEZ MELTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
16
CHRISTIAN FITZPATRICKWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
42
JOSH LIFSONTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
MICAH LOWEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
CHRIS NUCKOLSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
85
NICHOLAS MALITOWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
36
JATAVIAN CHURCHILLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
KADE NEELYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
D.J. VAN HORNWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
ANDREW LEETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAM WILSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
GREEDY VANCE JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LUKE KANDRAHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TIMOTHY LAWSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
LOVIE JENKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TEE WEBBHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JARED DAWSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ZAY PETERSONHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JORDAN WATKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KOBE BAYNESHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MEKHI BECTONNFL DRAFT R1OL★3—
CORNELIUS STURGHILLELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
P.J. MBANASORELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JORDAN DAVISELIGIBILITY UPTEUNR—
T.J. HOLLELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DAMIEN SMITHELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
AMONTE CABANELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TYLER HAYCRAFTELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
DEVANTE PEETEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
G.G. ROBINSONELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#42NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8572COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST96% BACK96th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG96% BACK96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE