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HOME›TEAMS›MARSHALL›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SUN BELT|CHARLES HUFF|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
MARSHALL70 FPISBC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
36FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-7IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1250 BC / 14
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+11.3
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
37MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ANAVY—W 49-772222+39BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HNORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL—W 44-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18HEAST CAROLINA—L 38-42454040+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AAPP STATE—L 30-31357373-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 28-34423131+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HOLD DOMINION—W 20-13252424+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15ANORTH TEXAS—W 49-21422828+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 38-04644+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 28-13492929+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HUAB—L 14-21346767-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ACHARLOTTE—W 49-28371212+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 21-53478282-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CAM FANCHERQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
LUKE ZBANQB SORET
UNR—00%——
6
GRANT WELLSQB SERET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
RASHEEN ALIRB JURET
★2—00%——
28
ETHAN PAYNERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
SHELDON EVANSRB JURET
★3—00%——
15
KNOWLEDGE MCDANIELRB SORET
★3—00%——
4
LAWRENCE PAPILLONRB SORET
★3—00%——
36
IVAN VAUGHNRB FRRET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
EJ HORTON JR.WR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
13
SHADEED AHMEDWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
26
CHANCELLOR BRIGHTWR FRRET
★3—00%——
83
DEVIN MILLERTE YRRET
★3—00%——
4
COREY GAMMAGEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
19
STONE SCARCELLEWR YRRET
UNR—00%——
1
TALIK KEATONWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
CALEB MCMILLANWR JURET
★2—00%——
2
JAYDEN HARRISONWR SEPORTAL · VANDERBILT
★3★300%—HELD
1
WILLIE JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
XAVIER GAINESTE SERET
★3—00%——
12
GARET MORRELLTE SERET
★3—00%——
86
ETHAN HAHNWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
16
CALEB COOMBSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
AMIR RICHARDSONTE FRRET
★3—00%——
38
MILES WILLIAMSWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
43
COOPER THUNELLTE SORET
UNR—00%——
14
HAYDEN HAGLERTE SERET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHUCK MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CALEB COOMBSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAIAH FINNIEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CAM FANCHERHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JEREMIAH MCCLENDONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
SETH SMITHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
DARION DEARINGERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
TYRIEK BELLHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ERIC MEEKSHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ETHAN PAYNEHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHANE SIMMONSPENN STATEDL★4★3
BILLY ROSSNORTH CAROLINAOT★3★3
LEANTHONY WILLIAMS JR.CLEMSONCBUNR★4
STEVEN FAUCHEUXPURDUEDL★4★3
TYQAZE LEGGSAUSTIN PEAYIOL★3★3
JAYDEN HARRISONVANDERBILTWR★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT9 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DERREK PITTS JR.NC STATECBUNRUNR
BROC THOMPSONPURDUEWRUNR★2
JAYLON MCCLAIN-SAPPELIGIBILITY UPDB★2—
ARTIE HENRYELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JARON WOODYARDELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TAVANTE BECKETTELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRENDEN KNOXNOT LISTEDRB★2—
DARIUS HODGENOT LISTEDDL★3—
CAMERON SHIRKEYNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#125NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8288COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
613 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST73% BACK73th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG73% BACK73th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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