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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MID-AMERICAN|WALT BELL|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
MASSACHUSETTS130 FPIMAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
18FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1130 BC / 14
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
1-11ACTUALvs1.1-10.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-32.9
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
28MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30ARUTGERS—L 21-48581010-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—L 20-45————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ACHARLOTTE—L 17-52212727-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HCOASTAL CAROLINA—L 28-6291313-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HAKRON—W 37-291011-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 0-44472525-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ALOUISIANA TECH—L 21-69445353-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HUCONN—L 35-562833-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HLIBERTY—L 21-6364343-43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AARMY—L 7-6374545-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16ANORTHWESTERN—L 6-45653030-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HBYU—L 24-56515555-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET10NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
MICHAEL CURTISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
RANDALL WESTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
MIKE FALLONQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
ANDREW BRITOQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
9
GARRETT DZUROQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
18
LUKE MCMENAMINQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET10NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
BILAL ALLYRB JURET
★3—00%——
25
JESSIE BRITTRB SERET
★2—00%——
48
GILBERTO TORRESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
KEVIN BROWN JR.RB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
NICK OREKOYARB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
CYRUS BONSURB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JARED MARTINORB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
CHARLES PAYSONFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
KERRY RAYMONDRB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
MELVIN HILLWR SERET
★2—00%——
6
BRENNON DINGLEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
SADIQ PALMERWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
ADAM BILLARDWR JURET
UNR—00%——
11
ZAK SIMONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
23
CAM ROBERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JOSIAH JOHNSONTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
JAVON TURNERWR SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
SAMUEL EMILUSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
DARIYAN WILEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
18
TAYLOR EDWARDSTE SERET
★2—00%——
25
VICTOR SANTIAGOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
JERMAINE JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
80
KYLE HORNTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
SOLOMON SISKINDTE JURET
UNR—00%——
14
JARET PALLOTTATE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
81
ADAM DEESETE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
WILL CONNERYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DELVIN ATTAFAHWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
RYAN DRISCOLLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
LIAM FITZPATRICKWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
JAKE ORLANDOTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
10
JERMAINE JOHNSON, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS14 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
XAVIER GRAHAMHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
JOSH WALLACEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JACOB ORLANDOHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JERMAINE JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TAJ JONESHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CLETUS MATHURINHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DARIYAN WILEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KEVIN BROWNHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BILLY WOODENHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
MAX LONGMANHS RECRUITOT★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DARIAN GREENIDAHO STATELB★2UNR
BAKHARI GOODSONSOUTH DAKOTACB★2UNR
ANDY ISABELLANFL DRAFT R2WRUNR—
MARQUIS YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
LEE MOSESELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
BRICE MCALLISTERELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
BRYTON BARRELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ANDREW FORDELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
JARELL ADDOELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ROSS COMISELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#113NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 14 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8011COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST22% BACK22th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG22% BACK22th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE