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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE NORVELL|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
MEMPHIS#25 AP 29 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
48FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#561 BC / 27
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs8.4-3.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.3
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
41MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUL MONROE—W 37-29141414+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HUCLA—W 48-45926060+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HSOUTHERN ILLINOIS—W 44-31————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5SEP 30AUCF#6L 13-40608383-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AUCONN—W 70-313966+62BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HNAVY—W 30-27324343+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AHOUSTON—W 42-38586767+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HTULANE—W 56-26362626+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ATULSA—W 41-14401919+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HSMU—W 66-45453636+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HEAST CAROLINA—W 70-13451313+55BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AUCF#6L 55-62608383-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET93NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
RILEY FERGUSONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
BRADY DAVISQB —RET
UNR—00%——
2
DAVID MOOREQB SERET
★3—00%——
11
BRADY MCBRIDEQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
PATRICK TAYLOR JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
31
ANTHONY YOUNGRB —RET
UNR—00%——
28
DOROLAND DORCEUSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
1
TONY POLLARDRB JURET
UNR—00%——
8
DARRELL HENDERSONRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
ANTHONY MILLERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
18
RODERICK PROCTORWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
PHIL MAYHUEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
KEDARIAN JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
ROSS BURCHAMTE —RET
UNR—00%——
81
MECHANE SLADEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
86
JOEY MAGNIFICOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SEAN DYKESTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
JOHN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
10
DAMONTE COXIEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
JAHOD BOOKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
82
HUNTER HILLWR SORET
★2—00%——
14
ANTONIO GIBSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
GABRIEL ROGERSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
JAIDEN WOODSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
46
CARSON SHORTTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
NICK ROBINSONTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
JAYLEN MCCLANAHANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
37
BRENNON LEWISWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
TRE'VEON HAMILTONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
44
STEVEN ENISTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
OBINNA EZEHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
CARLITO GONZALEZHS RECRUITS★3UNR
NICK ROBINSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
T.J. CARTERHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
QUINDON LEWISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ALEC LONGHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JJ RUSSELLHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CADE MASHBURNHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JOHN DALEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
MIKHAIL HILLHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOAH ROBINSONMISSOURILBUNRUNR
DONALD PENNINGTONNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
JAHMAHL PARDNERNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
MICHAEL EDWARDSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
CHRIS MORLEYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DREW BISHOPNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
LATARIUS BRADYNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
DANIEL HURDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
CHAUNCEY LANIERNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DANIEL MONTIELNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#56NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 27 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8189COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST90% BACK90th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG90% BACK90th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR93%93th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE