SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MEMPHIS›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE NORVELL|—RECORD12-1|CONF—
MEMPHIS#17 AP 24 FPIAAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
49FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#670 BC / 16
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
12-1ACTUALvs10.0-3.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+16.2
12 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
50MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HOLE MISS—W 15-10826060+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSOUTHERN—W 55-24————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14ASOUTH ALABAMA—W 42-62066+82BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 26HNAVY#20W 35-23147777+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AUL MONROE—W 52-33151616+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ATEMPLE—L 28-30426161+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HTULANE—W 47-17427070+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ATULSA—W 42-41314444+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HSMU—W 54-48546464+24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16AHOUSTON—W 45-27613737+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23ASOUTH FLORIDA—W 49-10502121+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29HCINCINNATI#21W 34-24567474+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 7HCINCINNATI#21W 29-24567474+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
BRADY WHITEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
CONNOR ADAIRQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
17
MARKEVION QUINNQB SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
2
SHELDON LAYMANQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
SKY FORESTQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
MARQUAVIUS WEAVERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
PATRICK TAYLOR JR.RB SERET
UNR—00%——
0
RODRIGUES CLARKRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
TIMOTHY TAYLORRB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
11
KYLAN WATKINSRB JURET
★2—00%——
19
KENNETH GAINWELLRB SORET
★3—00%——
43
MARIO NOLAN-DILLARDRB SORET
★2★200%—HELD
24
CAMERON FLEMINGRB SORET
★3—00%——
48
DYLAN INGRAMRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
5
DEVON STARLINGRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
CALVIN AUSTIN IIIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
ANTONIO GIBSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
KEDARIAN JONESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
JOEY MAGNIFICOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
SEAN DYKESTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
JOHN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
1
TRAVEON SAMUELWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
TAHJ WASHINGTONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
DAMONTE COXIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
TYCE DANIELTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
COYE' FAIRMANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
45
KAMERON WILSONTE SONO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
13
JOHN HASSELLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
JEREMY TATE JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
GABRIEL ROGERSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
JORDAN MONKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
13
JAVON IVORYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
CAMERON BAKERWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
89
TYLER MOOREWR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
POP WILLIAMSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
JEREMY TATE JRWR —RET
★3—00%——
80
COYE' FAIRMANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
COLE MASHBURNHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JALIL CLEMONSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
JA'LEN SIMSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JOSEPH HONEYSUCKERHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
TREVIS HOPPERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
JASHON WATKINSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
RODRIGUES CLARKHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
SHELDON LAYMANHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DREW MARTINHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
TAHJ WASHINGTONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TONY POLLARDNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
DARRELL HENDERSONNFL DRAFT R3RBUNR—
SAM CRAFTELIGIBILITY UP?UNR—
JACKSON DILLONELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
TITO WINDHAMELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
CURTIS AKINSELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
DREW KYSERELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EMMANUEL COOPERELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TAMAURICE SMITHELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
BRADY MCBRIDENOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#67NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8361COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST68% BACK68th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG68% BACK68th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE