SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM HARBAUGH|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
MICHIGAN24 FPIB1G · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
95FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#521 BC / 31
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+7.5
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AFLORIDA—W 33-17877474+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HCINCINNATI—W 36-14462525+65BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HAIR FORCE—W 29-1311818+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23APURDUE—W 28-10486363+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HMICHIGAN STATE#15L 10-14788383+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AINDIANA—W 27-20557575+15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21APENN STATE#8L 13-42869696-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HRUTGERS—W 35-14622727+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HMINNESOTA—W 33-10544444+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AMARYLAND—W 35-10803333+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWISCONSIN#7L 10-24739898-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HOHIO STATE#5L 20-31999999-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
JOHN O'KORNQB —RET
UNR—00%——
3
WILTON SPEIGHTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
BRANDON PETERSQB SERET
★4—00%——
6
MICHAEL SESSAQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
DYLAN MCCAFFREYQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
15
GARRETT MOORESQB —RET
UNR—00%——
15
ALEX MALZONEQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET50NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
27
JOE HEWLETTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
HENRY POGGIFB —RET
UNR—00%——
80
KHALID HILLFB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
KARAN HIGDONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
JARED WANGLERFB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
CHRIS EVANSRB SERET
★4—00%——
10
KAREEM WALKERRB SERET
★2★300%——
5
O'MAURY SAMUELSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
45
PETER BUSHRB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
TRU WILSONRB SERET
★2—00%——
44
JARED CHARRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
NICHOLAS CAPATINARB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
NICK VOLKFB —RET
UNR—00%——
5
KURT TAYLORRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
BRIAN CHUFB —RET
UNR—00%——
49
TYLER PLOCKIFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JOE BENEDUCCIFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
TYRONE WHEATLEYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
88
GRANT PERRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ZACH GENTRYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
MAURICE WAYSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
IAN BUNTINGTE —RET
UNR—00%——
4
NICO COLLINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
DONOVAN PEOPLES-JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★5—00%——
84
SEAN MCKEONTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
NICK EUBANKSTE SERET
★3—00%——
13
EDDIE MCDOOMWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
11
KEKOA CRAWFORDWR SERET
★4—00%——
TARIK BLACKWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
1
DRAKE HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
NATE SCHOENLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
42
BEN MASONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
BRENDAN WHITEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JACOB WESTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
38
JOSEPH FILESTE SERET
UNR—00%——
24
JAKE MARTINWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOEL HONIGFORDTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
OLIVER MARTINWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
43
JAKE MCCURRYWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
CARTER SELZERTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
JACK YOUNGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
TYLER GROSZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DESMOND NICHOLASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
JACK WANGLERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
39
EVAN LATHAMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
ERIC KIMWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
BRADFORD JONESTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
CONNER EDMONDSTE —RET
★2—00%——
34
KENNETH FERRISTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DONOVAN PEOPLES-JONESHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
AUBREY SOLOMONHS RECRUITDT★5UNR
CESAR RUIZHS RECRUITOC★4UNR
LUIJI VILAINHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
DREW SINGLETONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
AMBRY THOMASHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JORDAN ANTHONYHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
CHUCK FILIAGAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TARIK BLACKHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DYLAN MCCAFFREYHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHANE MORRISCENTRAL MICHIGANQBUNRUNR
JOURDAN LEWISNFL DRAFT R3CBUNR—
TACO CHARLTONNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
BEN GEDEONNFL DRAFT R4LBUNR—
DELANO HILLNFL DRAFT R3SUNR—
JAKE BUTTNFL DRAFT R5TEUNR—
JABRILL PEPPERSNFL DRAFT R1LBUNR—
JEREMY CLARKNFL DRAFT R6CBUNR—
CHRIS WORMLEYNFL DRAFT R3DEUNR—
AMARA DARBOHNFL DRAFT R3WRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#5NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
21OF 31 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9075COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE