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HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|JIM HARBAUGH|—RECORD2-4|CONF—
MICHIGAN48 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
90FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1417 BC / 29
BC RATIO
47%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-4ACTUALvs2.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-6.2
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
64MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
8OCT 24AMINNESOTA—W 49-24576464+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31HMICHIGAN STATE—L 24-27763838+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AINDIANA#12L 21-38638181-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HWISCONSIN—L 11-49779898-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21ARUTGERS—W 48-42551717+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HPENN STATE—L 17-27938888-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
JOE MILTON IIIQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
11
CADE MCNAMARAQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
12
DYLAN MCCAFFREYQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
18
MAX WITTWERQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
ANDY MADDOXQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
REN HEFLEYQB JURET
UNR—00%——
17
PEYTON SMITHQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET75NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
BLAKE CORUMRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
CHRIS EVANSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
25
HASSAN HASKINSRB JURET
★3—00%——
20
KALEL MULLINGSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
ZACH CHARBONNETRB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
28
CHRISTIAN TURNERRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
31
LUCAS ANDRIGHETTORB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
GAIGE GARCIARB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
20
NICHOLAS CAPATINARB SERET
UNR—00%——
37
DANNY HUGHESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
LEON FRANKLINRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
NICO TIBERIARB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
ISAIAH GASHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
RONNIE BELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
ERICK ALLTE SERET
★4★400%—HELD
82
NICK EUBANKSTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
CORNELIUS JOHNSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
8
A.J. HENNINGWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
1
ROMAN WILSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
42
BEN MASONTE SERET
★3—00%——
43
JAKE MCCURRYWR SERET
★2—00%——
5
GILES JACKSONWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
81
NATE SCHOENLEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JOEL HONIGFORDTE SERET
★3—00%——
89
CARTER SELZERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
35
LUKE BUCKMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
LUKE SCHOONMAKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
10
EAMONN DENNISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
MATTHEW HIBNERTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
7
GEORGE JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
39
MATT TOREYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
88
MATHEW HARRISONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
WILL SESSATE SORET
UNR—00%——
80
HUNTER NEFFTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
DAN VILLARITE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
JAKE THAWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
CHRISTIAN BARTHOLOMEWWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
WILL ROLAPPWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
SAM STARUCHWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDREW GENTRYHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
A.J. HENNINGHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BRAIDEN MCGREGORHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
BLAKE CORUMHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
KALEL MULLINGSHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
ANDRE SELDONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JORDAN MORANTHS RECRUITS★4UNR
DARION GREEN-WARRENHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MAKARI PAIGEHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ZAK ZINTERHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MICHAEL DWUMFOURRUTGERSDL★3UNR
JAYLEN KELLY-POWELLAKRONS★4UNR
J'MARICK WOODSDUKES★3UNR
TARIK BLACKTEXASWR★4UNR
MICHAEL DANNANFL DRAFT R5DLUNR—
JOSH UCHENFL DRAFT R2LB★3—
DONOVAN PEOPLES-JONESNFL DRAFT R6WR★5—
JORDAN GLASGOWNFL DRAFT R6LBUNR—
JON RUNYANNFL DRAFT R6OLUNR—
KHALEKE HUDSONNFL DRAFT R5LB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#14NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
17OF 29 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8894COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE