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HOME›TEAMS›MICHIGAN STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARK DANTONIO|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
MICHIGAN STATE32 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
76FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#313 BC / 22
BC RATIO
16%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-5ACTUALvs6.7-5.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HUTAH STATE#22W 38-31268585-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AARIZONA STATE—L 13-16806161+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AINDIANA—W 35-21594747+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 31-203466+72BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HNORTHWESTERN#21L 19-29694848+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13APENN STATE#17W 21-17928989-11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HMICHIGAN#14L 7-21959393-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HPURDUE—W 23-13496767+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AMARYLAND—W 24-3835555+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HOHIO STATE#3L 6-261009696-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17ANEBRASKA—L 6-9826262+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HRUTGERS—W 14-10571717+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
14
BRIAN LEWERKEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ROCKY LOMBARDIQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
13
MICKEY MACIUSQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET56NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
39
ALANTE THOMASRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
LJ SCOTTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
CONNOR HEYWARDRB JURET
★3—00%——
3
LA'DARIUS JEFFERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
27
WESTON BRIDGESRB SORET
★3—00%——
23
ANDRE WELCHRB JURET
UNR—00%——
24
ELIJAH COLLINSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
36
NOAH SARGENTRB JURET
UNR—00%——
40
COLLIN LUCASFB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
BEN LINEFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
FELTON DAVIS IIIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
16
BRANDON SOWARDSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
CODY WHITEWR JURET
★3—00%——
81
MATT SOKOLTE SERET
UNR—00%——
25
DARRELL STEWART JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
21
CAM CHAMBERSWR JURET
★4—00%——
89
MATT DOTSONTE SERET
★4—00%——
13
CJ HAYESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
13
LARESS NELSONWR SERET
★2—00%——
8
JALEN NAILORWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
43
MUFI HILL-HUNTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
MATT SEYBERTTE SERET
UNR—00%——
20
DAVIS LEWANDOWSKIWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
REID BURTONTE SERET
★2—00%——
82
NOAH DAVISTE SERET
★3—00%——
49
MAX ROSENTHALTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
JAHZ WATTSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
97
TYLER HUNTTE YRNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
NICK KRUMMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
94
CHASE GIANACAKOSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
85
KHYLIN BARTONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KALON GERVINHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TRENTON GILLISONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
XAVIER HENDERSONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
THEO DAYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
CHASE KLINEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
MICHAEL DOWELLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DAVION WILLIAMSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMES OHONBAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CHRIS JACKSONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LA'DARIUS JEFFERSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MADRE LONDONTENNESSEERBUNRUNR
TRISHTON JACKSONSYRACUSEWR★4UNR
TYSON SMITHELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
MESSIAH DEWEAVERELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
BRETT SCANLONNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
DEMETRIUS COOPERNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
SEAN HARRINGTONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
GERALD HOLMESNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
SHANE JONESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DAMION TERRYNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8695COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST82% BACK82th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG82% BACK82th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE