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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MIDDLE TENNESSEE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|RICK STOCKSTILL|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
MIDDLE TENNESSEE87 FPICUSA · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
42FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1230 BC / 10
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.0-5.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+3.9
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
35MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HMONMOUTH—W 50-15————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11AVIRGINIA TECH—L 14-35724747-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18AUTSA—L 13-27445656-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ACHARLOTTE—L 39-42371212+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HMARSHALL—W 34-28366161-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ALIBERTY—L 13-4176363-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUCONN—W 44-131511+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HSOUTHERN MISS—W 35-10391111+20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 21-48478282-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 50-104644+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HOLD DOMINION—L 17-24252424+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 27-17492929+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET7NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BAILEY HOCKMANQB JUPORTAL · NC STATE
★4★300%—FELL
16
CHASE CUNNINGHAMQB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
NICHOLAS VATTIATOQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
18
STONE FROSTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
MIKE DILIELLOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
ALEC OGDENQB JURET
UNR—00%——
SHANE MCLAUGHLINQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET73NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
AMIR RASULRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
21
WILL GILCHRISTRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
MARTELL PETTAWAYRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
BRAD ANDERSONRB SERET
★3—00%——
44
CHATON MOBLEYRB JURET
★2—00%——
4
TERRY WILKINSRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
22
FRANK PEASANTRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
23
JALEN MONTGOMERYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
50
JACOB MAHONEYRB SORET
UNR—00%——
31
ARAN MOHAMAD-ALIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
17
SAM TARDITSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
10
DARIUS JAMESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
MARQUEL TINSLEYWR SORET
★3—00%——
81
CJ WINDHAMWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JIMMY MARSHALLWR SERET
★3—00%——
35
TYLER SWEETWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
YUSUF ALIWR SEPORTAL · MIDDLE TENNESSEE
UNR—00%——
2
IZAIAH GATHINGSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
ELIJAH METCALFWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
JASHAWN SHEFFIELDWR FRRET
★4—00%——
9
JARRIN PIERCEWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
DJ ENGLAND-CHISOLMWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
JAMICHAEL THOMPSONWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
83
JAYLIN LANEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
BRYCE BAILEYWR SERET
★3★200%—FELL
6
CAM ROSSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
JOESEPH SEWELLTE SERET
★2—00%——
80
LUKE BOLGERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
13
JAVONTE SHERMANWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
LANDON BURRELLWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
JONATHAN HAYNESWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
TAHARIN SUDDERTHTE SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
48
HAYDEN NEIGHBORSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAMERON GRAYSHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAVONTE SHERMANHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NICHOLAS VATTIATOHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ZABRIEN HARDENHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
TERRELL PACKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ELIJAH METCALFHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JAKOBE THOMASHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JAQUAN TONEYHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
TAHARIN SUDDERTHHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
DAMONTE SMITHHS RECRUITDLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BAILEY HOCKMANNC STATEQB★4★3
NETORI JOHNSONGEORGIADL★4★3
MAJON WRIGHTARIZONAWRUNR★3
JOSEPH HONEYSUCKERMEMPHISEDGE★3★3
JAMARI WILLIAMSARIZONAIOL★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT10 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ASHER O'HARASACRAMENTO STATEQBUNR★3
KYLAN STRIBLINGCENTRAL ARKANSASS★2★2
DARIUS MCCLENDONELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
BRETT SHEPHERDELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
CREWS HOLTELIGIBILITY UPPK★2—
TY NIXELIGIBILITY UPDT★2—
RAKAVIAN POYDRASELIGIBILITY UPDT★3—
JAYY MCDONALDELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CAIN MCWILLIAMSNOT LISTEDLB★3—
KENNETH MAJORNOT LISTEDCB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#123NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8359COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
59 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST44% BACK44th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG44% BACK44th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR7%7th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE