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HOME›TEAMS›MIDDLE TENNESSEE›2025TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2025 FINAL
CONFERENCE USA|DEREK MASON|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
MIDDLE TENNESSEE130 FPICUSA · 2025 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
48%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
77%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-19IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#980 BC / 19
BC RATIO
5%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2025 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.8-8.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.5
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE17
PERFORMANCE17
TALENT31
CONTINUITY48
DEFENSE4
PERFORMANCE4
TALENT40
CONTINUITY77
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
26MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HAUSTIN PEAY—L 14-34————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 6AWISCONSIN—L 10-42803838-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13ANEVADA—W 14-13141515-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 20HMARSHALL—L 28-42363737-30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AKENNESAW STATE—L 16-2443535-28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 8HMISSOURI STATE—L 20-2272121-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 22ADELAWARE—L 28-3142020-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10OCT 29HJACKSONVILLE STATE—L 21-24203333-26BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 8HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 30-56292121-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15AWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 26-42285050-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22HSAM HOUSTON—W 31-171111+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 29ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 31-2461010-3BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB53TAL46PERF53RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 8 METRICS · 15 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
NICHOLAS VATTIATOQB SERET
★3—8971%+22—
16
ROMAN GAGLIANOQB SORET
★3—7128%+3—
18
STANLEY ANDERSON-LOFTONQB FRTRUE FR
★3—50%——
10
KADEN MARTINQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
PETER GRANDJEANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB51TAL63PERF51RET67ONE OWNERn=3 · 9 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
JEKAIL MIDDLEBROOKRB SERET
UNR★39967%0EMERGED
28
RICKEY HUNT JR.RB SOPORTAL · TULSA
★3★37120%-15HELD
29
DJ TAYLORRB SONO SNAPS
★3—6112%+36—
31
AUSTIN CLEMONSRB SORET
★3—272%——
35
ASHTON JONESRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
BROOKLEN DAVISRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
30
RAI'KEYREAN CHANDLERRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE37TAL29PERF36RET30ONE OWNERn=9 · 8 METRICS · 56 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
HUNTER TIPTONTE SEPORTAL · LOUISIANA TECH
UNR★39667%-7EMERGED
0
NAHZAE COXWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★39522%-8EMERGED
5
MYLES BUTLERWR SERET
UNR—9321%-17—
6
AJ JONESWR SEPORTAL · ARIZONA
★3★38919%-51HELD
3
CAM'RON LACYWR JURET
★3—7712%+15—
17
AMORION WALKERWR SEPORTAL · MICHIGAN
★3★37712%-37HELD
88
TAYVION GALLOWAYTE SOPORTAL · PURDUE
★4★36721%-55FELL
89
LANDON COLLINSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—646%+13—
17
GAMARION CARTERWR SERET
★3★3615%+4HELD
39
EVAN POTICHERTE JURET
UNR—5712%-24—
19
KASON STOKESWR SOPORTAL · UCF
★3★3432%—HELD
86
BRODY BENKETE SORET
★3—00%——
85
NEO CLIFTONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
CHASE DAVISWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
TYREE PATTERSONWR JUPORTAL · UCF
★3★300%—HELD
84
BEN HUBBARDWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
46
SAWYER LOVVORNTE SORET
UNR—00%——
81
WILSON HODGESTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
80
ZAIDYN MOOREWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL36TAL28PERF36RET50n=9 · 3 METRICS · 24 OBS
▸DL54TAL30PERF54RET84n=5 · 7 METRICS · 25 OBS
▸LB38TAL41PERF38RET76n=8 · 11 METRICS · 54 OBS
▸DB30TAL43PERF30RET62n=10 · 6 METRICS · 54 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOCKE KENNEDYHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KIANDREA BARKERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DJ TAYLORHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ARCHIE ROSEMAN VHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
CHRISTOFER NOBLEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
GARRETT AUSTINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
STANLEY ANDERSON-LOFTONHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
ELIJAH HUNTER JR.HS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KYLE LARKINHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BEN HUBBARDHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN8 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYREE PATTERSONUCFWR★3★3
KASON STOKESUCFWR★3★3
TAYVION GALLOWAYPURDUETE★4★3
ALEX MITCHELLCHATTANOOGALBUNR★3
E.J. HARRISAUBURNIOLUNR★3
AMORION WALKERMICHIGANWR★3★3
RICKEY HUNT JR.TULSARB★3★3
HUNTER TIPTONLOUISIANA TECHTEUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT42 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SIMON WILSONTULSAOLUNR★3
MARVAE MYERSMARSHALLDB★2UNR
XAVIER WILLIAMSCINCINNATIS★3UNR
JORDAN THOMPSONWESTERN CAROLINALB★3★3
TYRELL RABYGRAMBLINGCB★3★3
OMARI KELLYMICHIGAN STATEWR★4★3
MORGAN SCOTTMARSHALLOLUNR★3
JAMES GILLESPIESACRAMENTO STATEDT★3UNR
JAMES MONDS IIIEASTERN MICHIGANDB★3★3
TAHARIN SUDDERTHEAST TENNESSEE STATETEUNR★3
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES55%7 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS67%13 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#98NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8379COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
1231 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST99% BACK99th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG99% BACK99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR50%50th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST62%62th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE