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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSISSIPPI STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
SEC|JOE MOORHEAD|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE9 FPISEC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#275 BC / 21
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs10.7-1.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+17.1
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
72MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HSTEPHEN F. AUSTIN—W 63-6————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AKANSAS STATE—W 31-10554141+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HLOUISIANA—W 56-10262828+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22AKENTUCKY#12L 7-28778181+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HFLORIDA#7L 6-13919494+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HAUBURN—W 23-99195950BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ALSU#6L 3-19969797-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HTEXAS A&M#16W 28-13899292+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HLOUISIANA TECH—W 45-3452828+67BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AALABAMA#2L 0-2499100100-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HARKANSAS—W 52-6816060+35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 22AOLE MISS—W 35-3857575+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
LOGAN BURNETTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JALEN MAYDENQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
7
NICK FITZGERALDQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
TJ MCMAHONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
RIP KIRKQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
NICK GIBSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
ALEC MURPHYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ROBERT RIVERSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
26
AERIS WILLIAMSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
28
DONTAVIAN LEERB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
KYLIN HILLRB SERET
★4—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
84
DONTEA JONESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
KEITH MIXON JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
2
DEDDRICK THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
MALIK DEARWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
FARROD GREENTE SERET
UNR—00%——
1
STEPHEN GUIDRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
DEVONTA JASONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
99
KEYTAON THOMPSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
86
JESSE JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JUSTIN JOHNSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
5
OSIRUS MITCHELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
AUSTIN WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
BRAD CUMBESTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
TRISTAN PISACANEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
20
TAURY DIXONWR SERET
★3—00%——
40
POWERS WARRENTE YRNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
16
VINCENT TAYLORWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JAVONTA PAYTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
80
CHRISTIAN ROBERSONTE —RET
★3—00%——
13
TRAVIS O'CONNORWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALIK HEATHHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DEVONTA JASONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
KWATRIVOUS JOHNSONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JADEN CRUMEDYHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
JALEN MAYDENHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
MARCUS MURPHYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
FABIEN LOVETT SR.HS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
AARON BRULEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
GEOR'QUARIUS SPIVEYHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
JOHNQUARISE PATTERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT14 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LOGAN COOKENFL DRAFT R7PUNR—
JORDAN THOMASNFL DRAFT R6TEUNR—
REGGIE TODDELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
GABE MYLESNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TOLANDO CLEVELANDNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
DEZMOND HARRISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TREY BRASWELLNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
JOSIAH PHILLIPSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BRANDON BRYANTNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
J.T. GRAYNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#27NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8709COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST89% BACK89th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG89% BACK89th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE