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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSISSIPPI STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SEC|JOE MOORHEAD|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE39 FPISEC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
84FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#247 BC / 17
BC RATIO
26%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs5.9-6.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-0.5
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
71MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ALOUISIANA—W 38-28267676-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HSOUTHERN MISS—W 38-15363232+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HKANSAS STATE—L 24-31486666-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HKENTUCKY—W 28-13767474-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AAUBURN#14L 23-56919494-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ATENNESSEE—L 10-20897878-16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HLSU#1L 13-36979999-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26ATEXAS A&M—L 30-49928585-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AARKANSAS—W 54-24821717+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HALABAMA#8L 7-381009898-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HABILENE CHRISTIAN—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 28HOLE MISS—W 21-20826060+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
TOMMY STEVENSQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
LOGAN BURNETTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
GARRETT SHRADERQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
18
JALEN MAYDENQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET59NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
NICK GIBSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
32
ROBERT RIVERSRB SORET
UNR—00%——
8
KYLIN HILLRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
LEE WITHERSPOONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
ALEC MURPHYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
CONNER HEGANRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
KAREEM WALKERRB —NO SNAPS
★4★300%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
GEOR'QUARIUS SPIVEYTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
DONTEA JONESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
ISAIAH ZUBERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
DEDDRICK THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
MALIK DEARWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
FARROD GREENTE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
CAMERON GARDNERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
1
STEPHEN GUIDRYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
99
KEYTAON THOMPSONWR SERET
★4—00%——
20
TAURY DIXONWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
OSIRUS MITCHELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
JAVONTA PAYTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
AUSTIN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
25
BRAD CUMBESTWR JURET
★3—00%——
24
TRISTAN PISACANEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
40
POWERS WARRENTE YRRET
★2—00%——
3
DEVONTA JASONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
38
CASON GRANTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
16
VINCENT TAYLORWR SORET
UNR—00%——
13
KYZIAH PRUITTWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
83
QUINTON TORBORWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
LEE TANNERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
JORDON HOYERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
CAMP TICEWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS17 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLES CROSSHS RECRUITOT★5UNR
NATHAN PICKERINGHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
DE'MONTE RUSSELLHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
JARRIAN JONESHS RECRUITS★4UNR
GARRETT SHRADERHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
BRANDON CUNNINGHAMHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
ANI IZUCHUKWUHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
COLLIN DUNCANHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
QUINTON TORBORHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
J.P. PURVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEITH MIXON JR.WESTERN MICHIGANWRUNRUNR
MONTEZ SWEATNFL DRAFT R1DEUNR—
JOHNATHAN ABRAMNFL DRAFT R1SUNR—
JEFFERY SIMMONSNFL DRAFT R1DT★5—
CHRIS RAYFORDELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
AERIS WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
DONTAVIAN LEEELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
CORY THOMASELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
NICK FITZGERALDELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
GERRI GREENELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#24NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 17 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8903COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST38% BACK38th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG38% BACK38th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE