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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSISSIPPI STATE›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
SEC|MIKE LEACH|—RECORD3-7|CONF—
MISSISSIPPI STATE52 FPISEC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
83FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#273 BC / 19
BC RATIO
21%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
3-7ACTUALvs3.2-6.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
4SEP 26ALSU—W 44-34966969-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3HARKANSAS—L 14-21825555-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10AKENTUCKY—L 2-24815858-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HTEXAS A&M#4L 14-28969090-50BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31AALABAMA#1L 0-41999999-59BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7HVANDERBILT—W 24-176177+33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21AGEORGIA#7L 24-311009595-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28AOLE MISS—L 24-31796464-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HAUBURN—L 10-24928585-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 19HMISSOURI—W 51-32664242-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET49NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
WILL ROGERSQB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
K.J. COSTELLOQB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
GARRETT SHRADERQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
7
WILL ROGERSQB SENO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
19
JUSTIN STOLBERGQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
ALLAN WALTERSQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
JALEN MAYDENQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET83NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KYLIN HILLRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
LEE WITHERSPOONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
4
WOODY MARKSRB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
7
DILLON JOHNSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3★400%—ROSE
10
KAREEM WALKERRB SENO SNAPS
★2★300%——
28
JANARI DEANRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
32
J.J. JERNIGHANRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
OMNI WELLSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
GEOR'QUARIUS SPIVEYTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
TYRELL SHAVERSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
84
DONTEA JONESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
12
CAMERON GARDNERWR JURET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
5
OSIRUS MITCHELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
JAVONTA PAYTONWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
85
AUSTIN WILLIAMSWR SERET
★3—00%——
25
BRAD CUMBESTWR JURET
★3—00%——
5
LIDEATRICK GRIFFINWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
11
JADEN WALLEYWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
8
MALIK HEATHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
80
JEFFREY BANKSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TAURY DIXONWR SERET
★3—00%——
40
POWERS WARRENTE YRRET
★2—00%——
13
KYZIAH PRUITTWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
83
QUINTON TORBORWR SORET
★3—00%——
86
JORDON HOYERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
47
CAMP TICEWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
82
RUFUS HARVEYWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
CALEB DUCKINGWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
20
TRIP WILSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
24
CHRISTIAN FORDEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
HAZE GREERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
BO BROOKSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
CARSON BANKSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
BRODIE KINGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WOODY MARKSHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
EMMANUEL FORBESHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
LIDEATRICK GRIFFINHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
DILLON JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JANARI DEANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JEVON BANKSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
RODNEY GROCE JR.HS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JADEN WALLEYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAVORRIUS SELMONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
WILL ROGERSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT26 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
STEWART REESEFLORIDAOL★3UNR
KEYTAON THOMPSONVIRGINIAWR★4UNR
FABIEN LOVETTFLORIDA STATEDL★3UNR
JARRIAN JONESFLORIDA STATEDB★4UNR
BRIAN COLE IINFL DRAFT R7SUNR—
TOMMY STEVENSNFL DRAFT R7QBUNR—
CAMERON DANTZLERNFL DRAFT R3CB★3—
WILLIE GAY JR.NFL DRAFT R2LB★4—
ISAIAH ZUBERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DEDDRICK THOMASELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#27NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
3OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8717COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR49%49th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE