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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›MISSOURI›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
SEC|ELI DRINKWITZ|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
MISSOURI78 FPISEC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
68FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-16IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#274 BC / 20
BC RATIO
13%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs4.9-7.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4HCENTRAL MICHIGAN—W 34-24113636+11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11AKENTUCKY#18L 28-35798383-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HSOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE—W 59-28————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 25ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 34-41644343+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HTENNESSEE—L 24-62879393-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HNORTH TEXAS—W 48-35422828+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HTEXAS A&M—L 14-35969696-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30AVANDERBILT—W 37-285966+41BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6AGEORGIA#1L 6-4399100100-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 31-28855050-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HFLORIDA—W 24-23947878-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AARKANSAS#21L 17-34808484-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
CONNOR BAZELAKQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
12
BRADY COOKQB SERET
★3—00%——
16
JACK SAMSELQB JURET
★2—00%——
15
TOMMY LOCKQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET22NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
TYLER BADIERB SERET
★3—00%——
28
B.J. HARRISRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
MICHAEL COXRB JURET
UNR—00%——
3
ELIJAH YOUNGRB SERET
★3—00%——
47
STEPHEN BENSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
DAWSON DOWNINGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
SIMI BAKARERB SERET
★3—00%——
0
TAJ BUTTSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
14
BJ HARRISRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
33
BRYCE JACKSONRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
CHRISTOPHER KREHRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
TYLER MACONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
1
TAUSKIE DOVEWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
KEKE CHISMWR SERET
UNR—00%——
4
J.J. HESTERWR SERET
★4★300%—FELL
48
NIKO HEATE JURET
★3—00%——
5
MOOKIE COOPERWR SEPORTAL · OHIO STATE
★4★300%—FELL
31
D'IONTE SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
DANIEL PARKERTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
DOMINIC LOVETTWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
80
MESSIAH SWINSONTE SERET
★3—00%——
2
CHANCE LUPERWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
2
MICAH WILSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
BARRETT BANISTERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JA'MORI MACLINWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
GAVIN MCKAYTE FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
RYAN HOERSTKAMPTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
45
KIBET CHEPYATORTE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
SHAWN HENDERSHOTTE JURET
UNR—00%——
85
JADEN NASHWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
13
JJ HESTERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
41
ZACH HAHNWR FRTRUE FR
UNR★200%—EMERGED
82
LOGAN MUCKEYWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TRAVION FORDHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
DOMINIC LOVETTHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
TYLER MACONHS RECRUITQB★4UNR
CONNOR TOLLISONHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
KYRAN MONTGOMERYHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
DAYLAN CARNELLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
DAMEON WILSONHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ARDEN WALKERHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
MEKHI WINGOHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
J'MARION GOOCHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
AKAYLEB EVANSTULSACB★2★3
MOOKIE COOPEROHIO STATEWR★4★3
ALLIE GREENTULSACBUNR★3
BLAZE ALLDREDGERICELBUNR★3
EJ NDOMA-OGAROKLAHOMAIOL★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHRIS MILLSTEXAS STATECB★3★3
DOMINIC GICINTONEW MEXICO STATEWR★3★3
MARKELL UTSEYARKANSASDL★3★3
SCI MARTIN JR.SE LOUISIANALBUNRUNR
TRE WILLIAMSARKANSASDL★3UNR
ADAM SPARKSUL MONROEDB★3★3
JAMAL BROOKSSOUTH ALABAMALB★3★3
TYREE GILLESPIENFL DRAFT R4S★3—
JOSHUAH BLEDSOENFL DRAFT R6S★3—
LARRY ROUNTREE IIINFL DRAFT R6RB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#27NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8738COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
521 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST67% BACK67th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG67% BACK67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE