SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|KEN NIUMATALOLO|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NAVY54 FPIAAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
32FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#880 BC / 58
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
6-6ACTUALvs6.3-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.0
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 42-19446161-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HTULANE—W 23-21362626+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HCINCINNATI—W 42-32462525+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30ATULSA—W 31-21401919+24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HAIR FORCE—W 48-4511818+25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AMEMPHIS#25L 27-30486868-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HUCF#6L 21-31608383-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2ATEMPLE—L 26-34434444-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11HSMU—W 43-40453636+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ANOTRE DAME#11L 17-24939191-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AHOUSTON—L 14-24586767-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 9HARMY—L 13-1432929+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
MALCOLM PERRYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GARRET LEWISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DALEN MORRISQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
3
JACOB HARRISONQB —RET
★3—00%——
1
REGGIE HAYESQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET49NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
JOSHUA WALKERFB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
CHRIS HIGHFB —RET
UNR—00%——
38
ANTHONY GARGIULOFB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
MIKE MARTINFB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
AKILI TAYLORFB SERET
UNR—00%——
43
NELSON SMITHFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
CJ WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
23
MYLES FELLSRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
36
JONNIE LEEFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
JUSTIN SMITHRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
33
JONATHON LEEFB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
35
COOPER HARDINFB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
31
MYLES BENNINGFB —RET
UNR—00%——
45
AHMIR LEEFB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
BRYAN HAMMONDFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
BRANDON COLONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
80
TERRENCE LASTERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
TYLER CARMONAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
49
JORDAN PITTMANWR —RET
UNR—00%——
82
CRAIG SCOTTWR —RET
UNR—00%——
9
ZACH ABEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
KEONI-KORDELL MAKEKAUWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
TAYLOR JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TAZH MALOYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TRAVIS BRANNANWR SERET
★2—00%——
86
OJ DAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
ALEKSEI YARAMUSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
GARRETT WINNWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
EMMETT DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
89
CHASE PARRISHWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
KODY CRIDERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
TYREEK KING-ELWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
RYAN MITCHELLWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
84
TANNER MATTHEWSWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
DRE WILLIAMSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
11
DARIAN PRIDEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
47
TREY OLSENWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
CONREY MEAGHERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
CHAD LEWELLYNWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
ZACK FRAADEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACKSON PERKINSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
AHMIR LEEHS RECRUITFB★3UNR
DIEGO FAGOTHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
JACOB GREGORYHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
GARY THEARDHS RECRUITS★3UNR
NICK NOVAKHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DEAN SISEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
PETE NESTROWITZHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
CHIKE OTALUKAHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MITCH WESTHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KYLE BATTLENOT LISTEDSUNR—
WILL WORTHNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DISHAN ROMINENOT LISTED?UNR—
NNAMDI UZOMANOT LISTEDDEUNR—
MIKE KELLYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TONEO GULLEYNOT LISTED?UNR—
MYLES SWAINNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
CAMERON BRYANTNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
DAIQUAN THOMASSONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
RYAN HARRISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#88NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 58 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7796COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE