SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|KEN NIUMATALOLO|—RECORD3-10|CONF—
NAVY99 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
17FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 37
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-10ACTUALvs4.3-8.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-4
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.5
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1AHAWAI'I—L 41-59132121+1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HMEMPHIS—W 22-21477373-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15HLEHIGH—W 51-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 22ASMU—L 30-31472929-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AAIR FORCE—L 7-3573535-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HTEMPLE—L 17-24455454-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HHOUSTON—L 36-49645151-29BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HNOTRE DAME#5L 22-44939191-69BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ACINCINNATI#24L 0-42546262-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUCF#11L 24-35618787-65BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HTULSA—W 37-29221818+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24ATULANE—L 28-29403131-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 8AARMY#19L 10-1773636-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
MALCOLM PERRYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
GARRET LEWISQB SERET
UNR—00%——
19
DALEN MORRISQB SERET
★2—00%——
5
JEREMIAH BOYDQB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
5
STEVE STEENQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
JACOB HARRISONQB —RET
★3—00%——
1
BEN GLASSQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
CHIKE OTALUKARB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
ANTHONY GARGIULOFB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
MIKE MARTINFB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
JUSTIN SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
20
CJ WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
23
MYLES FELLSRB SERET
★2—00%——
43
NELSON SMITHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
AKILI TAYLORFB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
JONNIE LEEFB SORET
UNR—00%——
2
TYGER GOSLINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
CARLINOS ACIERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
DEVON HIGHRB JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
34
JAMALE CAROTHERSFB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
35
JOSH JOHNSONRB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
CHANCE WARRENRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
DANIEL TAYLORRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
JAMES HARRIS IIFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
ISAAC RUOSSFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
33
JONATHON LEEFB SERET
★3—00%——
45
AHMIR LEEFB —RET
★2—00%——
32
BRYAN HAMMONDFB —RET
UNR—00%——
48
SAM DIXONFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
81
COLLINS WOODS IIIWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
3
MYCHAL COOPERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
25
TAZH MALOYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
22
TRAVIS BRANNANWR SERET
★2—00%——
86
OJ DAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
9
ZACH ABEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
TAYLOR JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
RYAN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
28
KEONI-KORDELL MAKEKAUWR SERET
★2—00%——
21
TYREEK KING-ELWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
ALEKSEI YARAMUSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
GARRETT WINNWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
EMMETT DAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
CHASE PARRISHWR SERET
★2—00%——
15
KODY CRIDERWR JURET
★2—00%——
84
TANNER MATTHEWSWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
MARCELL GLEATONWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
MICHAEL SALISBURYWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
CAL LONGWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
13
BRENDAN MITCHELLWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
PETER BROWNWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KEVIN BRENNANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JALEN SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JORDAN COOPERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JOSEPH PETTIHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
COLLINS WOODSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DEVIN MATHEWSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CALEB GRIMESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DANIEL TAYLORHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JUSTIN STEVENSONHS RECRUITRB★2UNR
JAISON TAYLORHS RECRUITS★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ELIJAH MERCHANTNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
MICAH THOMASNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOHN BROWN IIINOT LISTED?UNR—
JAHMAAL DANIELNOT LISTED?UNR—
DARRYL BONNERNOT LISTED?UNR—
BRANDON JONESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOSHUA WALKERNOT LISTEDFBUNR—
RONNIE QUERRYNOT LISTEDLSUNR—
TYLER SAYLESNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
WINN HOWARDNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 37 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7815COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE