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● LIVE|2020 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|KEN NIUMATALOLO|—RECORD3-7|CONF—
NAVY105 FPIAAC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
15FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1260 BC / 49
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-7ACTUALvs1.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.7
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE10 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 7HBYU#11L 3-55469595-75BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 19ATULANE—W 27-24476262-42BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3AAIR FORCE—L 7-4032929-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10HTEMPLE—W 31-29441818+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17AEAST CAROLINA—W 27-23491616+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24HHOUSTON—L 21-37626161-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 31ASMU—L 37-51607777-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28HMEMPHIS—L 7-10546767-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HTULSA—L 6-19436666-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12AARMY—L 0-1576060-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
XAVIER ARLINEQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
MAASAI MAYNORQB SERET
★3—00%——
19
DALEN MORRISQB SERET
★2—00%——
5
JEREMIAH BOYDQB JURET
★2—00%——
1
TAI LAVATAIQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
CARLINOS ACIERB SERET
★2—00%——
CHANCE WARRENRB SERET
★2—00%——
32
ISAAC RUOSSFB SERET
UNR—00%——
29
DANIEL JONESRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
28
DEVON HIGHRB JURET
★2—00%——
24
JUSTIN SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
TYGER GOSLINRB SERET
★3—00%——
34
JAMALE CAROTHERSFB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
20
CJ WILLIAMSRB SERET
★2—00%——
23
MYLES FELLSRB SERET
★2—00%——
43
NELSON SMITHFB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
CHIKE OTALUKARB SERET
★3—00%——
20
DANIEL TAYLORRB SERET
★3—00%——
37
JAMES HARRIS IIFB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
MIKE MAUAIFB SERET
UNR—00%——
26
COLBY JACQUESRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
JONATHON LEEFB SERET
★3—00%——
40
GAVIN MARTSRB JURET
★2—00%——
39
BRANDON MADISONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
KAI PUAILOA-ROJASRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
6
MALCOLM TERRY IIRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
40
KHALIL CRAWFORDFB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
MYCHAL COOPERWR SERET
★3—00%——
DEVIN MATHEWSWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
87
RYAN MITCHELLWR SERET
★2—00%——
80
MARK WALKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
26
GARRETT WINNWR SERET
★2—00%——
82
EMMETT DAVISWR SERET
★2—00%——
89
CHASE PARRISHWR SERET
★2—00%——
21
TYREEK KING-ELWR SERET
★2—00%——
84
TANNER MATTHEWSWR SERET
★3—00%——
28
KEONI-KORDELL MAKEKAUWR SERET
★2—00%——
83
MARCELL GLEATONWR SERET
★2—00%——
85
MICHAEL SALISBURYWR SERET
★2—00%——
88
CAL LONGWR SERET
★2—00%——
81
TYSHAWN BUCKNERWR SORET
UNR—00%——
82
ZACHARY KUHLMANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
MICHAEL NAZEWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
CHRISTIAN HUTCHINSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
JOHN AMELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
91
JACKSON BOYERWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
15
JOHN MEAGHERWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
JARED MEADWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
JAYDEN UMBARGERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CAMARI WILLIAMSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
VINCENT TERRELL JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
COLIN O'CONNORWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
AKALEA KAPONOTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PRYSON GREERHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
RALPH DONALDSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRYCEN THOMASHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANTON HALLHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
CAMPBELL SPEIGHTSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JACK HAGLAGEHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
KEANDRE HARPERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
AARON SWAFFORDHS RECRUITDUAL★3UNR
MALACHI MORRISHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
WILLIE COLLINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MALCOLM PERRYNFL DRAFT R7QBUNR—
NORUWA OBANORELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
TAZH MALOYELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRAVIS BRANNANELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
ELAN NASHELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
WALTER LITTLEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
OJ DAVISELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
SION HARRINGTONELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
DENZEL POLKELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
TYLER PISTORIOELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#126NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 49 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7903COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
34TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
7
6
6
9
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +1.8 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED15 OF 34
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST55% BACK55th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG55% BACK55th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE