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HOME›TEAMS›NC STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|DAVE DOEREN|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
NC STATE#23 AP 21 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
67FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#530 BC / 23
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs7.5-4.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+5.8
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
71MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2ASOUTH CAROLINA—L 28-35826868+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HMARSHALL—W 37-20423333+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HFURMAN—W 49-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 23AFLORIDA STATE—W 27-21979494-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HSYRACUSE—W 33-25535656+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HLOUISVILLE—W 39-25739090-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14APITTSBURGH—W 35-17756363+19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANOTRE DAME#11L 14-35939191-9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HCLEMSON#4L 31-38949797-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ABOSTON COLLEGE—W 17-14525959+23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AWAKE FOREST—L 24-30517676+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HNORTH CAROLINA—W 33-21805757+25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
JALAN MCCLENDONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
15
RYAN FINLEYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
WOODY CORNWELLQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JORY PERKINSQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
MICAH LEONQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET24NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
41
WILL EASONRB —RET
★2—00%——
46
LOGAN DEBOERFB —RET
UNR—00%——
25
REGGIE GALLASPY IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
DAKWA NICHOLSRB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
NYHEIM HINESRB —RET
UNR—00%——
33
BRADY BODINERB SERET
UNR—00%——
38
WILL DABBSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
DAMONTAY RHEMRB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
ERIN COLLINSRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
NAKIA ROBINSON, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
MARQUISE BRAXTONFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
30
GAVIN LOCKLEARWR —RET
UNR—00%——
85
JUMICHAEL RAMOSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
48
COLE COOKTE —RET
UNR—00%——
1
STEPHEN LOUISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAKOBI MEYERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
KELVIN HARMONWR JURET
★3—00%——
28
DYLAN PARHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
C.J. RILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
EMEKA EMEZIEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
6
CARY ANGELINETE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
42
DYLAN AUTENRIETHTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
89
THOMAS RUOCCHIOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
TYLER DABBSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
ERIC COLLINSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
DAESHAWN STEPHENSWR —RET
★3—00%——
47
DAMIEN DARDENTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
ADAM BOSELLITE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
GRANT GIBSONHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
EMEKA EMEZIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSHUA FEDD-JACKSONHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
ANTOINE THOMPSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CHRIS INGRAMHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
LOUIS ACCEUSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
MATT MCKAYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
ISAIAH MOOREHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
RAVEN SAUNDERSHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DAMIEN DARDENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PHAROAH MCKEVERFLORIDA INTERNATIONALTEUNRUNR
MATTHEW DAYESNFL DRAFT R7RBUNR—
JOSH JONESNFL DRAFT R2SUNR—
JACK TOCHONFL DRAFT R7CBUNR—
TRAE MEADOWSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
NILES CLARKNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JOSH SESSOMSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
FORD HOWELLNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
BRA'LON CHERRYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MONTY NELSONNOT LISTEDDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#53NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8290COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
134TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
13
19
35
37
30
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-9 TO +6 W
IMPROVED67 OF 134
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST72% BACK72th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG72% BACK72th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE