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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|DAVE DOEREN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
NC STATE92 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
74FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#315 BC / 24
BC RATIO
23%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-8ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.0
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HEAST CAROLINA—W 34-6391111+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 41-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 14AWEST VIRGINIA—L 27-44712525+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HBALL STATE—W 34-23133434-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28AFLORIDA STATE—L 13-31965757-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 10HSYRACUSE—W 16-10554141-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ABOSTON COLLEGE—L 24-45532929-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AWAKE FOREST—L 10-44535858-31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HCLEMSON#2L 10-55949898-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HLOUISVILLE—L 20-34735353-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 21AGEORGIA TECH—L 26-28681515+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HNORTH CAROLINA—L 10-41807878-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
MATTHEW MCKAYQB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BAILEY HOCKMANQB JURET
★4★300%—FELL
13
DEVIN LEARYQB SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
4
TY EVANSQB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
MATTHEW MCKAYQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET28NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
RICKY PERSON JR.RB JURET
★4—00%——
38
WILL DABBSRB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
ZONOVAN KNIGHTRB SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
6
JORDAN HOUSTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAMONTAY RHEMRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
DELBERT MIMMS IIIRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
30
DAVID WETHERINGTONRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
28
DEMARCUS JONES IIRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
RICKY PERSON, JR.RB —RET
★4—00%——
34
DELBERT MIMMS, IIIRB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
36
DEMARCUS JONES, IIRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
42
DYLAN AUTENRIETHTE SERET
★3—00%——
37
TYLER DABBSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
5
TABARI HINESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
CARY ANGELINETE SERET
★4—00%——
89
THOMAS RUOCCHIOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
12
ERIC COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
DEVIN CARTERWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
15
KEYON LESANEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
DYLAN PARHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
EMEKA EMEZIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
THAYER THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TRENT PENNIXTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
JASIAH PROVILLONWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
19
C.J. RILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
80
JUSTIN DUNNWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
CAMDEN WOODSTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
MATTHEW ALDERFERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS TOUDLETE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
46
QUINN YORKTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
87
KAMERON WALKERTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
88
JACKSON DESILVAWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
TITUS DORSEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAVION JACKSONHS RECRUITSDE★4UNR
C.J. CLARKHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
JOSHUA HARRIS SR.HS RECRUITDT★4UNR
ZONOVAN KNIGHTHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
SHYHEIM BATTLEHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
TY EVANSHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KHALID MARTINHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DRAKE THOMASHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
IKEM EKWONUHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TERRELL DAWKINSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SHUG FRAZIERHAMPTONDT★3UNR
RYAN FINLEYNFL DRAFT R4QBUNR—
GERMAINE PRATTNFL DRAFT R3LBUNR—
GARRETT BRADBURYNFL DRAFT R1CUNR—
KELVIN HARMONNFL DRAFT R6WR★3—
A.J. COLE IIIELIGIBILITY UPPUNR—
DARIAN ROSEBOROELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
REGGIE GALLASPY IIELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TYLER GRIFFITHSELIGIBILITY UPLSUNR—
DEXTER WRIGHTELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#31NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
5OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8670COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST25% BACK25th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG25% BACK25th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE