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SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
ACC|DAVE DOEREN|—RECORD8-3|CONF—
NC STATE62 FPIACC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
78FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#412 BC / 22
BC RATIO
22%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
8-3ACTUALvs5.8-5.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+2.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD4-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+1.4
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
57MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
3SEP 19HWAKE FOREST—W 45-42525050-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 26AVIRGINIA TECH—L 24-45768888-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 3APITTSBURGH—W 30-29746969-22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 10AVIRGINIA—W 38-21545151-4BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 17HDUKE—W 31-20643333+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 24ANORTH CAROLINA#18L 21-48849292-45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HMIAMI#22L 41-44898585-38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HFLORIDA STATE—W 38-22903232+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HLIBERTY#17W 15-1477171-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 28ASYRACUSE—W 36-29531919+28BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HGEORGIA TECH—W 23-13794242+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET67NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BAILEY HOCKMANQB JURET
★4★300%—FELL
13
DEVIN LEARYQB SERET
★4★400%—HELD
10
BEN FINLEYQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
TY EVANSQB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
11
ANDREW HARVEYQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET96NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
RICKY PERSON JR.RB JURET
★4—00%——
28
DEMARCUS JONES IIRB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ZONOVAN KNIGHTRB SORET
★4—00%——
34
DELBERT MIMMS IIIRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JORDAN HOUSTONRB SERET
★3★300%—HELD
38
JOEY RAYRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
KEON CAUDLE JR.RB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
42
DYLAN AUTENRIETHTE SERET
★3—00%——
6
CARY ANGELINETE SERET
★4—00%——
89
THOMAS RUOCCHIOTE SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JUSTIN DUNNWR SORET
UNR—00%——
5
DEVIN CARTERWR SERET
★3★400%—ROSE
15
KEYON LESANEWR SERET
★3—00%——
28
DYLAN PARHAMTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
C.J. RILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
86
EMEKA EMEZIEWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
THAYER THOMASWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TRENT PENNIXTE SERET
★3—00%——
20
MICHAEL FOXWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
CHRIS TOUDLETE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
9
PORTER ROOKSWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
46
ANDREW JAYNETE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
CHRISTOPHER SCOTT JR.WR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
9
ANTHONY SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
ERIC COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
JASIAH PROVILLONWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
45
CAMDEN WOODSTE SORET
UNR—00%——
39
MATTHEW ALDERFERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
JOSH CRABTREEWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
43
EZEMDI UDOHTE SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
JALEN COITWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
KAMERON WALKERTE SORET
★3—00%——
88
JACKSON DESILVAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
25
TITUS DORSEYWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
41
TIMOTHY DAWKINSTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
MICHAEL FOXWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
YATES JOHNSONTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
31
DILLON MOSLEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PORTER ROOKSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DAVIN VANNHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
JAYLAND PARKERHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
AYDAN WHITEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
BEN FINLEYHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
NEHKI MEREDITHHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DEVON BETTYHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ANTHONY CARTER JR.HS RECRUITOG★3UNR
DEVAN BOYKINHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ETHAN LANEHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK MCCLOUDNOTRE DAMEDB★3UNR
BROCK MILLERBOISE STATELB★3UNR
JOSEPH BOLETEPELIMARYLANDDL★3UNR
JAMES SMITH-WILLIAMSNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
LARRELL MURCHISONNFL DRAFT R5DTUNR—
DEONTE HOLDENELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
JARIUS MOREHEADELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
KISHAWN MILLERELIGIBILITY UPCB★3—
STEPHEN GRIFFINELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TABARI HINESELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#41NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8593COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR67%67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE