SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEVADA›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|JAY NORVELL|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
NEVADA59 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
29FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#860 BC / 22
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
8-4ACTUALvs8.7-3.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.3
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4ACALIFORNIA—W 22-17724848+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HIDAHO STATE—W 49-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 18AKANSAS STATE—L 17-38528585-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ABOISE STATE—W 41-31506969-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 55-28622+47BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HHAWAI'I—W 34-17243434+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AFRESNO STATE—L 32-34417676-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29HUNLV—W 51-20221212+37BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 27-24263535+14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13ASAN DIEGO STATE#25L 21-23316262-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HAIR FORCE—L 39-4115959-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27ACOLORADO STATE—W 52-10333333+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
CLAY MILLENQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
NATE COXQB SERET
UNR—00%——
12
CARSON STRONGQB SORET
★3—00%——
6
HAMISH MCCLUREQB JURET
★2—00%——
6
JONAH CHONGQB JURET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
13
JAKE BARLAGEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
AVERY MORROWRB SERET
★3—00%——
2
DEVONTE LEERB SERET
★2—00%——
35
TOA TAUARB SERET
★3—00%——
32
WESLEY KOMMERRB JURET
UNR—00%——
33
DYLAN OVERSTREETRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
39
AUNDRE CARTERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
JESHUA FIXELRB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
ROMEO DOUBSWR JURET
★3—00%——
19
COLE TURNERTE JURET
★3—00%——
14
TORY HORTONWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
MELQUAN STOVALLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
20
JAMAAL BELLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
31
REAGAN ROBERSONTE SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JUSTIN LOCKHARTWR SERET
★2—00%——
4
ELIJAH COOKSWR SERET
★2—00%——
18
HARRY BALLARD IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
CARSON WALTERSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
PETER MONTINITE SERET
★3—00%——
8
TYRESE MACKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
TERRELL JOHNSONTE SERET
★2—00%——
87
WILL BARNARDWR SORET
UNR—00%——
83
AARON SMITHWR JURET
★3—00%——
84
JEREMIAH GRADOWITZWR JURET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CLAY MILLENHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
JEREMIAH BODWINHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
DOMINIC ELDRIDGEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JACQUES BADOLATO-BIRDSELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANDREW MADRIGALHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ISAIAH WORLDHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
CARLTON BROWNHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AEDAN SEIULIHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DWIGHT TOGIOLAHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
TY COLLINSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN5 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MARQUIS SPIKERWASHINGTONWR★4★4
JACOB NUNEZARIZONA STATEIOL★3★3
CHAD BROWNUCFSUNR★3
BENTLEE SANDERSSOUTH FLORIDAS★3★3
ISAIAH ESSISSIMAWAKE FORESTCB★3★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT7 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CHARLES ROSSSAN JOSÉ STATEWR★3★3
HENRY IKAHIHIFOELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EJ MUHAMMADELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
AUSTIN ARNOLDELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
ISAAC JERNAGINNOT LISTEDWR★3—
GIOVANNI MIRANDANOT LISTEDDE★3—
KIERAN CLARKNOT LISTEDDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#86NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8227COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
612 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST100% BACK100th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG100% BACK100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE