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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BOB DAVIE|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NEW MEXICO112 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1240 BC / 10
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-9.6
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
49MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HINCARNATE WORD—W 62-30————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AWISCONSIN—L 14-45758686-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 42-25855+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HLIBERTY—L 43-52477+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AUNLV—W 50-14311919+5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13ACOLORADO STATE—L 18-20462222+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HFRESNO STATE#18L 7-38428888-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AUTAH STATE#22L 19-61268585-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 23-31436464-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AAIR FORCE—L 24-4273535-11BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HBOISE STATE#23L 14-45537979-55BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HWYOMING—L 3-31164848-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET61NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
COLTIN GERHARTQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
SHERIRON JONESQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
TEVAKA TUIOTIQB JURET
★2—00%——
12
BRANDT HUGHESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
13
WILL HECKMANQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET42NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
5
DAEVON VIGILANTRB JURET
★3—00%——
32
MICAH GRAYRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
AHMARI DAVISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
JAVOHN JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KENTRAIL MORANRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
25
TYRONE OWENSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
10
ZAHNEER SHULERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
6
BRYSON CARROLLRB JURET
★2—00%——
21
BOBBY COLERB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
19
ELIJAH LILLYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JAY GRIFFIN IVWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
TRAE HALLWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
MARCUS WILLIAMSTE SERET
★2—00%——
15
Q' DRENNANWR JURET
UNR—00%——
80
ANU SOMOYEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
AARON MOLINAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JEFFREY JONES JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ANSELEM UMEHWR SERET
★3—00%——
5
PATRICK REEDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
BRAYDEN LENIUSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
2
DELANE HART-JOHNSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
EMMANUEL HARRISWR SERET
UNR—00%——
D HARTJOHNSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
ERIK BEILMANTE SERET
UNR—00%——
19
THOMAS VIEIRAWR SERET
UNR—00%——
14
RAFAEL HIDALGOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JONAH LEYVAWR JURET
UNR—00%——
9
JORDAN KRESSWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
27
NICK FOSTERWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
85
KYLE JARVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
83
BLAKE WELLSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
27
DANIEL PEABODYTE —RET
★2—00%——
85
AARON OVERACKERTE —RET
UNR—00%——
80
CADE HACKEYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
84
BRAYDEN DICKEYTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
JEFFREY JONES, JR.TE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LAWRENCE JOHNSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DYLAN HORTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRAE HALLHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CEDRIC PATTERSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JEFFREY JONES JR.HS RECRUITTE★2UNR
BLAKE FEHRMANNHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
DONTE MARTINHS RECRUITCB★2UNR
COLSTON CHACONHS RECRUITOGUNRUNR
KYLE STAPLEYHS RECRUITOGUNRUNR
STEPHEN RUIZHS RECRUITKUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JASON SANDERSNFL DRAFT R7PKUNR—
RAYSHAWN BOYCEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
KIMMIE CARSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
LAMAR JORDANNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
ROMELL JORDANNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KENNETH MAXWELLNOT LISTEDSUNR—
CHRIS DAVIS JR.NOT LISTEDWRUNR—
JAKE ROTHSCHILLERNOT LISTEDSUNR—
GARRETT HUGHESNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
KENE OKONKWONOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#124NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7872COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST53% BACK53th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG53% BACK53th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR61%61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE