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HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DANNY GONZALES|—RECORD2-5|CONF—
NEW MEXICO107 FPIMWC · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
21FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1060 BC / 22
BC RATIO
6%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
2-5ACTUALvs2.3-4.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-8.7
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE7 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
9OCT 31HSAN JOSÉ STATE#24L 21-38324747-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 7AHAWAI'I—L 33-39312424-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14HNEVADA—L 20-27335757-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AAIR FORCE—L 0-2832929-19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUTAH STATE—L 27-413288+2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5HWYOMING—W 17-16243737-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
15DEC 12HFRESNO STATE—W 49-39373030-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET65NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ISAIAH CHAVEZQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
TEVAKA TUIOTIQB JURET
★2—00%——
16
CONNOR GENALQB JURET
UNR—00%——
12
BRANDT HUGHESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET44NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
25
NATHANIEL JONESRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAEVON VIGILANTRB JURET
★3—00%——
21
CHAD ALEXANDERRB JURET
★2★300%—ROSE
28
JOSH FOLEYRB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
21
BOBBY COLERB SERET
★2—00%——
6
BRYSON CARROLLRB JURET
★2—00%——
33
JAVOHN JONESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
KENTRAIL MORANRB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
32
MICAH GRAYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
37
KENDAL TAYLORRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
TRAE HALLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
82
AUSTIN ERICKSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
MARCUS WILLIAMSTE SERET
★2—00%——
MANNIE LOGAN-GREENEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
7
ANSELEM UMEHWR SERET
★3—00%——
11
CEDRIC PATTERSON IIIWR SORET
UNR—00%——
9
JORDAN KRESSWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
11
ANDREW ERICKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
KYLE JARVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
89
CONNER KINSLOWTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
23
JAY GRIFFIN IVWR SERET
UNR—00%——
19
ELIJAH LILLYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
JONAH LEYVAWR JURET
UNR—00%——
14
TYE MOOREWR FRRET
★2—00%——
81
ELIJAH QUEENTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
KYLE HESTERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
83
BLAKE WELLSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
91
OJ BARTLEYTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JACE TAYLORWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
14
DUECE JONESWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
41
CONNOR WITTHOFTTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
38
JATHAN WASHINGTONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
RYAN COSPERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
47
CALEB MARRATE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
VINCENT SANTOSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NATHANIEL JONESHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
LEKE ASENUGAHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
JER'MARQUES BAILEYHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
BOBBY WOODENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
OJ BARTLEYHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
QUINN POTTSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
ELIJAH QUEENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
DUECE JONESHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
IAN SHEWELLHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ELIJAH LASHHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DYLAN HORTONTCUDL★3UNR
AARON BLACKWELLARIZONADLUNRUNR
SHERIRON JONESELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
BLAIR MANLYELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
ALEX HARTELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ANU SOMOYEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRENT SELLERSELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
THOMAS VIEIRAELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JOHNNY HERNANDEZELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
AARON MOLINAELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#106NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 22 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8094COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR65%65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
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