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● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NEW MEXICO›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|DANNY GONZALES|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NEW MEXICO124 FPIMWC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
19FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-10IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#940 BC / 24
BC RATIO
2%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs1.4-10.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN-16.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
47MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HHOUSTON CHRISTIAN—W 27-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 11HNEW MEXICO STATE—W 34-25622+6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ATEXAS A&M—L 0-34969696-88BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25AUTEP—L 13-20123030-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2HAIR FORCE—L 10-3815959-51BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9ASAN DIEGO STATE#25L 7-31316262-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16HCOLORADO STATE—L 7-36333333-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AWYOMING—W 14-3134141-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6HUNLV—L 17-31221212-4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13AFRESNO STATE—L 7-34417676-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20ABOISE STATE—L 0-37506969-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HUTAH STATE#24L 10-35233939-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET41NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
16
ISAIAH CHAVEZQB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
TERRY WILSONQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%——
16
CONNOR GENALQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
CJ MONTESQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
8
TEVAKA TUIOTIQB JURET
★2—00%——
12
BRANDT HUGHESQB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET66NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
AARON DUMASRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
CHAD ALEXANDERRB JURET
★2★300%—ROSE
32
PEYTON DIXONRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
BOBBY COLERB SERET
★2—00%——
6
BRYSON CARROLLRB JURET
★2—00%——
5
DAEVON VIGILANTRB JURET
★3—00%——
32
MICAH GRAYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
LUKE WYSONGWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
TRAE HALLWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
13
C.J. BOONEWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
83
BLAKE WELLSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
24
KEYONTA LANIERWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
AUSTIN ERICKSONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
3
JACE TAYLORWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
TRACE BRUCKLERTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
41
CONNOR WITTHOFTTE SERET
★2—00%——
MANNIE LOGAN-GREENEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
ANDREW ERICKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
ELIJAH QUEENTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
KYLE JARVISTE SERET
UNR—00%——
ZARAK SCRUGGS JR.WR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
JOAH FLORESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
23
JAY GRIFFIN IVWR SERET
UNR—00%——
47
KYLE HESTERTE SORET
UNR—00%——
91
OJ BARTLEYTE JURET
★3—00%——
89
CONNER KINSLOWTE FRRET
★3—00%——
14
DUECE JONESWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
80
RYAN COSPERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
47
CALEB MARRATE JURET
UNR—00%——
88
VINCENT SANTOSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
MICHAEL BUCKLEYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS22 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TAY LANIERHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
AARON DUMASHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BENJI JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
CJ MONTESHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
KAI JESSIEHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ISAIAH SILLEMONHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
JACOB TRUSSELLHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
RONALD WILSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DAMON GENTRY JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRACE BRUCKLERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JACK BUFORDMISSOURIOT★4★4
JEFFREY BLAKESAN DIEGO STATELB★3★3
TERRY WILSONKENTUCKYQBUNR★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT13 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICO BOLDENKENT STATES★3★3
JORDAN KRESSCOLORADO STATEWRUNR★2
MICHAEL LOVETT IIITEXAS STATECBUNRUNR
KAMERON MILLERELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
ANSELEM UMEHELIGIBILITY UPWR★3—
MARCUS WILLIAMSELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
BRANDON SHOOKELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
LETAYVEON BEATONELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
ELMER PAUNIELIGIBILITY UPNTUNR—
NATHANIEL JONESNOT LISTEDRB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#94NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8158COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
414 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR41%41th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE