SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH CAROLINA›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|LARRY FEDORA|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
NORTH CAROLINA62 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#294 BC / 30
BC RATIO
9%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs4.7-7.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-5.3
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
66MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HCALIFORNIA—L 30-35644242+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 9HLOUISVILLE—L 35-47739090-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AOLD DOMINION—W 53-231988+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HDUKE—L 17-27706464-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AGEORGIA TECH—L 7-33617070-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HNOTRE DAME#11L 10-33939191-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HVIRGINIA—L 14-20654646+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AVIRGINIA TECH#24L 7-59768484-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HMIAMI#13L 19-24868787-30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9APITTSBURGH—W 34-31756363-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 65-10————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 25ANC STATE#23L 21-33678282-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET2NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
BRANDON HARRISQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
11
NATHAN ELLIOTTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
MANNY MILESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
LOGAN BYRDQB —RET
★3—00%——
15
JACK DAVIDSONQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
MICHAEL CARTERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
KAYNE ROBERTSRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
AUSTIN PROEHLWR —RET
UNR—00%——
13
JOSH CABRERAWR —RET
UNR—00%——
21
DEVIN PERRYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
JUVAL MOLLETTEWR —RET
UNR—00%——
17
ANTHONY RATLIFF-WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
ROSCOE JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
COREY BELL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
BEAU CORRALESWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
10
JORDAN CUNNINGHAMWR —RET
UNR—00%——
5
DAZZ NEWSOMEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
82
BRANDON FRITTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
14
THOMAS JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAKE BARGASTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CARL TUCKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
RONTAVIUS GROVESWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
84
GARRETT WALSTONTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
85
NOAH TURNERTE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
42
NICK QUIGLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DOM SAMSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
BROOKS LANGLEYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
28
DANTE DIMAGGIOWR —RET
UNR—00%——
89
JARED WORLEYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
18
J.T. CAUTHENWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JONAH MELTONHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
JAKE LAWLERHS RECRUITWDE★4UNR
CJ COTMANHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
TRE SHAWHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
J.T. CAUTHENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BILLY ROSSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
XACH GILLHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
MICHAEL CARTERHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
JORDON RILEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ANTWUAN BRANCHHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
MACK HOLLINSNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
NAZAIR JONESNFL DRAFT R3DTUNR—
T.J. LOGANNFL DRAFT R5?UNR—
RYAN SWITZERNFL DRAFT R4WRUNR—
ELIJAH HOODNFL DRAFT R7?UNR—
MARLON DUNLAP JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
NICK WEILERNOT LISTEDPKUNR—
KHRIS FRANCISNOT LISTED?UNR—
MITCHELL TRUBISKYNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
JONATHAN SMITHNOT LISTEDS★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#29NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 30 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8611COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST13% BACK13th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG13% BACK13th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR2%2th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE