SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH CAROLINA›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
ACC|LARRY FEDORA|—RECORD2-9|CONF—
NORTH CAROLINA77 FPIACC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#207 BC / 23
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
2-9ACTUALvs4.0-7.0FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-2.0 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-5
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.2
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 4.0. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE11 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1ACALIFORNIA—L 17-24685858-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8AEAST CAROLINA—L 19-41391616+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HPITTSBURGH—W 38-35735353-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AMIAMI—L 10-47868080-47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HVIRGINIA TECH—L 19-22795858-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ASYRACUSE#15L 37-40617070-37BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AVIRGINIA—L 21-31536868-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HGEORGIA TECH—L 28-38654343-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10ADUKE—L 35-42726161-28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HWESTERN CAROLINA—W 49-26————NON-FBS OPPONENT
13NOV 24HNC STATE—L 28-34717474-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET67NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CADE FORTINQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
11
NATHAN ELLIOTTQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
MANNY MILESQB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
JACK DAVIDSONQB —RET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
ANTONIO WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
BRITISH BROOKSRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
MICHAEL CARTERRB SERET
★3—00%——
25
JAVONTE WILLIAMSRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
20
KAYNE ROBERTSRB FRRET
★3—00%——
3
DEVON LAWRENCERB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
17
ANTHONY RATLIFF-WILLIAMSWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
ROSCOE JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
COREY BELL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
GARRETT WALSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
BEAU CORRALESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
RONTAVIUS GROVESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAZZ NEWSOMEWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
DYAMI BROWNWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
14
THOMAS JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
JAKE BARGASTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CARL TUCKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
ANTOINE GREENWR SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
82
BRANDON FRITTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
85
NOAH TURNERTE SERET
★3—00%——
28
AUSTIN CHRISMONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
15
AUSTYN CHESTNUTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
MASON LAURENCEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
NICK QUIGLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DOM SAMSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
JARED WORLEYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
83
JALEN NIXONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
DEVIN CREGANWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
J.T. CAUTHENWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILLIAM BARNESHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JORDYN ADAMSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DYAMI BROWNHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
BRANT LAWLESS-SHERRILLHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
AVERY JONESHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
JACE RUDERHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
ANTOINE GREENHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
CHRIS COLLINSHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
DEVON LAWRENCEHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ED MONTILUSHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
M.J. STEWARTNFL DRAFT R2CBUNR—
AUSTIN PROEHLNFL DRAFT R7WRUNR—
ANDRE SMITHNFL DRAFT R7LBUNR—
JORDON RILEYELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
DAJAUN DRENNONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
DONNIE MILESNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JORDAN CUNNINGHAMNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
HUNTER CRAFFORDNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
JOSH CABRERANOT LISTEDWRUNR—
AYDEN BONILLANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#20NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
7OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8780COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR67%67th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE