SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH CAROLINA›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|MACK BROWN|—RECORD6-6|CONF—
NORTH CAROLINA27 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
80FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#304 BC / 23
BC RATIO
20%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
6-6ACTUALvs7.7-4.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.7 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-6
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.7
6 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HSOUTH CAROLINA—W 24-20856565+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HMIAMI—W 28-25887676+2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 13AWAKE FOREST—L 18-24535858+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HAPP STATE#19L 31-34278080-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HCLEMSON#2L 20-21949898-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5AGEORGIA TECH—W 38-22681515+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AVIRGINIA TECH—L 41-43807171+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HDUKE—W 20-17694848+30BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HVIRGINIA—L 31-38586767+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14APITTSBURGH—L 27-34706464+14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23HMERCER—W 56-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
14NOV 30ANC STATE—W 41-10742727+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
VINCENT AMENDOLAQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
7
SAM HOWELLQB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
12
DONOVAN BREWINGTONQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
18
CALEB RUSSELLQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
24
ANTONIO WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—00%——
24
BRITISH BROOKSRB SERET
UNR—00%——
8
MICHAEL CARTERRB SERET
★3—00%——
25
JAVONTE WILLIAMSRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
JOSH HENDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
62
BRAXTON LINKRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
88
ROSCOE JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
9
COREY BELL JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
NOAH TURNERTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
GARRETT WALSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
88
KAMARI MORALESTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
EMERY SIMMONSWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
3
BEAU CORRALESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
RONTAVIUS GROVESWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
5
DAZZ NEWSOMEWR SERET
★3—00%——
2
DYAMI BROWNWR JURET
★4—00%——
80
JAKE BARGASTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CARL TUCKERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
3
ANTOINE GREENWR SERET
★4—00%——
82
BRANDON FRITTSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
28
AUSTIN CHRISMONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
15
AUSTYN CHESTNUTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
32
MASON LAURENCEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
GRAY GOODWYNWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
CARSON BURGESSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
KHAFRE BROWNWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
4
JUSTIN OLSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
80
WILL CROWLEYTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
42
NICK QUIGLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
DOM SAMSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
29
JEFFREY SATURDAYWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
RYAN WILKOFFWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
ALEX KOPPWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
SAM HOWELLHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
KHAFRE BROWNHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
EUGENE ASANTEHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
TRISTON MILLERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
WISDOM ASABOROHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
EMERY SIMMONSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOSH HENDERSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
GIOVANNI BIGGERSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DON CHAPMANHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TY MURRAYHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDON BROWNKANSAS STATE?★3UNR
THOMAS JACKSONLOUISVILLEWRUNRUNR
MANNY MILESKANSASQBUNRUNR
KJ SAILSSOUTH FLORIDADB★3UNR
COLE HOLCOMBNFL DRAFT R5LBUNR—
CADE FORTINELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
ALLEN ARTISELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
JEREMIAH CLARKEELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
MALIK CARNEYELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
J.K. BRITTELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#30NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8641COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST42% BACK42th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG42% BACK42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE