SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH TEXAS›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|SETH LITTRELL|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
NORTH TEXAS74 FPIAAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
23FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1010 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+14.6
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
23MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HSMU—W 46-23472929+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HINCARNATE WORD—W 58-16————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15AARKANSAS—W 44-17816060-10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22ALIBERTY—W 47-7477+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HLOUISIANA TECH—L 27-29452828+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6AUTEP—W 27-241500+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HSOUTHERN MISS—W 30-7272929+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AUAB—L 21-29284343+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HRICE—W 41-172411+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AOLD DOMINION—L 31-34121616+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 41-38523838+12BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AUTSA—W 24-213222+48BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
MASON FINEQB SERET
★2—00%——
19
QUINN SHANBOURQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JASON BEANQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
17
KASON MARTINQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
COBE CRAFTQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET47NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
TRE SIGGERSRB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
LOREN EASLYRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
HAYDEN DOGGETTRB SORET
UNR—00%——
44
CANNON MAKIFB SERET
UNR—00%——
46
CHRISTIAN HOSLEYRB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
ANTHONY WYCHERB JURET
UNR—00%——
21
NIC SMITHRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
EVAN JOHNSONRB SERET
★2—00%——
3
DEANDRE TORREYRB SERET
UNR—00%——
25
SILA CARMICHAELFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
JOSH ADEBAYORB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
18
KEEGAN BREWERWR SORET
★2—00%——
9
KELVIN SMITHTE SERET
★3—00%——
8
RICO BUSSEY JR.WR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
DEION HAIR-GRIFFINWR SERET
★2—00%——
32
MICHAEL LAWRENCEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
30
DENNIS SMITHWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
CALEB CHUMLEYTE JURET
UNR—00%——
9
JALEN GUYTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
89
KAM DUHONWR SORET
UNR—00%——
11
QUINETIN JACKSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
CUDJOE YOUNGWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JASON PIRTLETE SERET
★2—00%——
14
GREG WHITEWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
1
JAELON DARDENWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
JYAIRE SHORTERWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
26
THOMAS CLANCYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
TRACE THOMPSONWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
COLTON STACYWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
NICK OGELLEWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
JACK GIBLINTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
8
RICO BUSSEY, JR.WR —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ALEX MORRISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
REGGIE WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
KD DAVISHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JYAIRE SHORTERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AUSTIN OGUNMAKINHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JERMARCUS WHITEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
KASON MARTINHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JASON BEANHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JAXON GIBBSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
DERRICK SHAWHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ANDREW TUCKERNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
SID MOORENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TURNER SMILEYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
ANDY FLUSCHENOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ERIC JENKINSNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
JEFFERY WILSONNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
KISHAWN MCCLAINNOT LISTEDSUNR—
O'KEERON RUTHERFORDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TILLMAN JOHNSONNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
JAKE DAVISNOT LISTED?UNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#101NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8011COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
123TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
22
31
30
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +7 W
IMPROVED59 OF 123
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST80% BACK80th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG80% BACK80th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE