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● LIVE|2022 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›NORTH TEXAS›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|SETH LITTRELL|—RECORD7-7|CONF—
NORTH TEXAS78 FPIAAC · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
16%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 10
BC RATIO
4%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
7-6ACTUALvs7.1-5.9FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.1 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+2.5
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 7.1. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE43
PERFORMANCE43
TALENT44
CONTINUITY16
DEFENSE8
PERFORMANCE8
TALENT43
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE14 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 27AUTEP—W 31-13102525+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
1SEP 3HSMU—L 10-48555858-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 59-27————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17AUNLV—L 27-58152222+22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AMEMPHIS—L 34-44476363-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—W 45-28493131+13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HLOUISIANA TECH—W 47-273988+36BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22AUTSA—L 27-31466464-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29AWESTERN KENTUCKY—W 40-13425050-6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—W 52-143422+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12AUAB—L 21-41294747-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26HRICE—W 21-17281212+32BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 2AUTSA—L 27-48466464-20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 17ABOISE STATE—L 32-35486161-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB64TAL57PERF64RET96ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
AUSTIN AUNEQB JURET
UNR★39096%+28EMERGED
5
GRANT GUNNELLQB SENO SNAPS
★3★3182%+27HELD
4
STONE EARLEQB SENO SNAPS
★3—162%——
2
JD HEADQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB54TAL53PERF54RET71ROTATIONn=4 · 5 METRICS · 17 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
0
IKAIKA RAGSDALERB SERET
★3★38434%+19HELD
27
OSCAR ADAWAY IIIRB SERET
★3★37625%+15HELD
25
AYO ADEYIRB SERET
UNR★37221%+34EMERGED
23
ISAIAH JOHNSONRB JURET
★3★36113%+11HELD
20
B.K. JACKSONRB SERET
★3—323%+18—
20
QUALON FARRARRB FRTRUE FR
★3★3312%-7HELD
34
PRESTON LANDISRB SENO SNAPS
UNR★2211%—EMERGED
48
BRYCE DRUMMONDFB JURET
★3—00%——
29
DAVIAWN BISHOPRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE75TAL54PERF71RET70ROTATIONn=9 · 8 METRICS · 50 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
JAKE ROBERTSTE SERET
★3★39043%+49HELD
30
VAR'KEYES GUMMSTE JURET
★3★38334%+44HELD
2
RODERIC BURNSWR SERET
UNR—8122%+34—
8
DAMON WARD JR.WR SERET
UNR—7821%-1—
4
JYAIRE SHORTERWR SERET
★3★37418%+38HELD
89
ASHER ALBERDINGTE JURET
★3★36921%—HELD
9
JA'MORI MACLINWR SENO SNAPS
★3★36612%+36HELD
9
JORDAN SMARTWR SENO SNAPS
UNR★3609%+39EMERGED
5
TOMMY BUSHWR JURET
★4★4577%-62HELD
1
KAYLON HORTONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—484%——
80
ZHIGHLIL MCMILLANWR SORET
★3★3443%—HELD
BRYSON JACKSONWR JURET
★3—423%-49—
84
CHRISTIAN LEETE JURET
★3★3211%—HELD
13
KHATIB LYLESWR SORET
★3★3100%-38HELD
5
LATRELL NEVILLEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
DORIAN MORRISWR JURET
★3★300%—HELD
11
DETRAVEON BROWNWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
85
EVAN GREENEWR SORET
UNR—00%——
81
RICHARD ROCQUEMOREWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
LUKE ROSSLEYWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
83
JAKE COOKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
82
DORIAN WINDLEYWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL75TAL38PERF75RET10n=6 · 3 METRICS · 17 OBS
▸DL47TAL48PERF47RET35n=8 · 8 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸LB44TAL41PERF44RET89n=6 · 11 METRICS · 49 OBS
▸DB54TAL40PERF54RET78n=7 · 8 METRICS · 41 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS10 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
CAM ROBERTSONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
QUALON FARRARHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
DAMEON SMALLWOODHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
HOWARD SAMPSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
PATRICK SMITH-YOUNGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
SAMORA EZEKIELHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAX VAN ZANDTHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
MOH BILITYHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ETHAN WESLOSKIHS RECRUITLB★2UNR
ISAIAH VILLANUEVAHS RECRUITIOLUNRUNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
UPTON STOUTWESTERN KENTUCKYDB★3★4
JACOB BRAMMERVANDERBILTOL★2UNR
GRAYSON MURPHYUCLADL★3UNR
GABRIEL MURPHYUCLADL★3UNR
JASON PIRTLEELIGIBILITY UPTE★2—
MAKYLE SANDERSELIGIBILITY UPS★2—
DION NOVILELIGIBILITY UPDL★2—
CALEB COLVINELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
TYREKE DAVISELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
KAMERON HILLELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 10 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8206COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST75% BACK75th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG75% BACK75th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR96%96th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST78%78th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE