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HOME›TEAMS›NOTRE DAME›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
FBS INDEPENDENTS|MARCUS FREEMAN|—RECORD9-4|CONF—
NOTRE DAME#18 AP 17 FPIIND · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
93FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
15%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#718 BC / 23
BC RATIO
68%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.3-3.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+8.9
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE46
PERFORMANCE46
TALENT82
CONTINUITY15
DEFENSE75
PERFORMANCE75
TALENT82
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
55MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AOHIO STATE#4L 10-21999898-25BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HMARSHALL—L 21-26315555+18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 17HCALIFORNIA—W 24-17664242+31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24ANORTH CAROLINA—W 45-32896565+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8HBYU—W 28-20234545+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 15HSTANFORD—L 14-16852929+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HUNLV—W 44-21152222+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ASYRACUSE—W 41-24535353+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5HCLEMSON#13W 35-14979191-18BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12ANAVY—W 35-3202929+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 44-0701313+60BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AUSC#12L 27-38939292-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 30ASOUTH CAROLINA#23W 45-38868080-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB62TAL9PERF62RET100ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
DREW PYNEQB SERET
★4★377100%+13FELL
11
RON POWLUS IIIQB FRRET
★3—00%——
9
STEVE ANGELIQB JUNO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB71TAL92PERF72RET100ONE OWNERn=2 · 5 METRICS · 10 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
22
LOGAN DIGGSRB SERET
★3★48650%+40ROSE
7
AUDRIC ESTIMERB JURET
★4—8549%+17—
6
GI'BRAN PAYNERB JUNO SNAPS
★4★350%—FELL
34
BARRET LIEBENTRITTFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
24
JADARIAN PRICERB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
27
CHASE KETTERERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
SAM ASSAFRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE58TAL86PERF52RET78ONE OWNERn=6 · 8 METRICS · 34 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
87
MICHAEL MAYERTE JURET
★5—9956%——
BRADEN LENZYWR SERET
★4—8434%-14—
8
JAYDEN THOMASWR SENO SNAPS
★4★38334%+2FELL
88
MITCHELL EVANSTE SERET
★3—7822%-39—
4
CHRIS TYREEWR SERET
★4★36113%-23FELL
4
DEION COLZIEWR SERET
★4★3569%+33FELL
19
HOLDEN STAESTE SENO SNAPS
★4★3476%—FELL
9
ELI RARIDONTE SENO SNAPS
★4—476%——
84
KEVIN BAUMANTE SERET
★4—476%——
38
DAVIS SHERWOODTE SERET
UNR—455%——
18
TOBIAS MERRIWEATHERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3455%—FELL
29
MATT SALERNOWR SERET
UNR—434%——
1
JOE WILKINS JR.WR SERET
★3—181%——
18
CANE BERRONGTE SERET
★4★340%—FELL
10
TYLER BUCHNERWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
3
AVERY DAVISWR SERET
★4—00%——
43
GREG MAILEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CONOR RATIGANWR SERET
UNR—00%——
28
GRIFFIN EIFERTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
37
HENRY COOKWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
CHARLIE SELNATE SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JACK POLIANWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
35
HAKIM SANFOTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ANDREW YANOSHAKTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
JUSTIN FISHERTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
26
CHASE DIXONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
LEO SCHEIDLERWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL70TAL90PERF70RET21n=5 · 3 METRICS · 15 OBS
▸DL67TAL87PERF67RET89n=11 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB61TAL85PERF61RET62n=5 · 11 METRICS · 31 OBS
▸DB55TAL78PERF55RET69n=10 · 6 METRICS · 60 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLEN SNEEDHS RECRUITLB★5UNR
JOSHUA BURNHAMHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AAMIL WAGNERHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
TYSON FORDHS RECRUITDL★4UNR
TOBIAS MERRIWEATHERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
BILLY SCHRAUTHHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JOEY TANONAHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
JUNIOR TUIHALAMAKAHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
AIDEN GOBAIRAHS RECRUITEDGE★4UNR
ELI RARIDONHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
K.J. WALLACEGEORGIA TECHDB★4★3
GEORGE TAKACSBOSTON COLLEGETE★4UNR
C'BO FLEMISTERPITTSBURGHRB★3UNR
LITCHFIELD AJAVONRICES★4UNR
JACK COANELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
ADAM SHIBLEYELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
ISAIAH PRYORELIGIBILITY UPLB★4—
JONATHAN DOERERELIGIBILITY UPPK★3—
KURT HINISHELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
MYRON TAGOVAILOA-AMOSAELIGIBILITY UPDL★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#7NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
18OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9124COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR21%21th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST69%69th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE