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HOME›TEAMS›OHIO STATE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
BIG TEN|RYAN DAY|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
OHIO STATE#6 AP 3 FPIB1G · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
99FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-4IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#221 BC / 26
BC RATIO
74%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
10-2ACTUALvs10.4-1.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-1
AVG SCORING MARGIN+24.6
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 10.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2AMINNESOTA—W 45-31698787+12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HOREGON#22L 28-35957171+28BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18HTULSA—W 41-20395353+46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HAKRON—W 59-71422+97BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5OCT 2ARUTGERS—W 52-13543333+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 9HMARYLAND—W 66-17775454+45BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AINDIANA—W 54-7732323+76BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HPENN STATE—W 33-24898686+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ANEBRASKA—W 26-17827373+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HPURDUE—W 59-31677373+26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20HMICHIGAN STATE#9W 56-7747979+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AMICHIGAN#3L 27-42909898+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
C.J. STROUDQB JURET
★4—00%——
6
KYLE MCCORDQB SENO SNAPS
★5★400%—FELL
10
JACK MILLER IIIQB SORET
★4—00%——
18
JAGGER LAROEQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
J.P. ANDRADEQB SERET
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET51NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
MASTER TEAGUE IIIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
3
MIYAN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★4—00%——
32
TREVEYON HENDERSONRB SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
21
EVAN PRYORRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
24
MARCUS CROWLEYRB SORET
★4—00%——
43
ROBERT COPERB JURET
UNR—00%——
26
CAYDEN SAUNDERSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
CHRIS OLAVEWR JURET
★3—00%——
88
GEE SCOTT JR.TE SERET
★4—00%——
4
JAYDEN BALLARDWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
11
JOE ROYERTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
KAMRYN BABBWR SERET
★4—00%——
11
JAXON SMITH-NJIGBAWR JURET
★5—00%——
18
MARVIN HARRISON JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
2
EMEKA EGBUKAWR SENO SNAPS
★5—00%——
83
JOOP MITCHELLWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
12
SAM WIGLUSZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
CHRIS BOOKERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
3
JULIAN FLEMINGWR SERET
★5★400%—FELL
5
GARRETT WILSONWR SORET
★5—00%——
3
DEMARIO MCCALLWR SERET
★4—00%——
34
MITCH ROSSITE SERET
UNR—00%——
88
JEREMY RUCKERTTE JURET
★4—00%——
XAVIER JOHNSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
8
CADE STOVERTE SERET
★4—00%——
80
COREY RAUTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
AUSTIN KUTSCHERWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
SAM HARTTE SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
38
MARVIN DAVIESWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
21
PATRICK GURDTE SERET
UNR★300%—EMERGED
86
REIS STOCKSDALEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
ZAK HERBSTREITTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
18
MARVIN HARRISON JR.WR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
QUINN EWERSHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
J.T. TUIMOLOAUHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
JACK SAWYERHS RECRUITDL★5UNR
EMEKA EGBUKAHS RECRUITWR★5UNR
DONOVAN JACKSONHS RECRUITIOL★5UNR
TREVEYON HENDERSONHS RECRUITRB★5UNR
KYLE MCCORDHS RECRUITQB★5UNR
JK JOHNSONHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
MICHAEL HALL JR.HS RECRUITDL★4UNR
JORDAN HANCOCKHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN1 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NOAH RUGGLESNORTH CAROLINAK★3★2
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAMESON WILLIAMSALABAMAWR★4★3
JONATHON COOPERNFL DRAFT R7DE★4—
LUKE FARRELLNFL DRAFT R5TE★4—
BARON BROWNINGNFL DRAFT R3LB★5—
PETE WERNERNFL DRAFT R2LB★4—
TREY SERMONNFL DRAFT R3RB★4—
JUSTIN FIELDSNFL DRAFT R1QBUNR—
SHAUN WADENFL DRAFT R5CB★5—
WYATT DAVISNFL DRAFT R3OL★5—
TOMMY TOGIAINFL DRAFT R4DT★4—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#2NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
21OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.9445COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
15 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST40% BACK40th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG40% BACK40th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE