SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OLD DOMINION›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
SUN BELT|BOBBY WILDER|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
OLD DOMINION124 FPISBC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
20FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1160 BC / 21
BC RATIO
3%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.3-9.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-13.6
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HNORFOLK STATE—W 24-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AVIRGINIA TECH—L 17-31807171-68BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AVIRGINIA—L 17-28586767-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HEAST CAROLINA—L 21-24391111-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 3-20415656-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12AMARSHALL—L 17-31434747-44BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AUAB—L 14-38324949-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HFLORIDA ATLANTIC—L 3-41465252-49BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AFLORIDA INTERNATIONAL—L 17-24472525-22BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HUTSA—L 23-243955-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AMIDDLE TENNESSEE—L 17-38341616-13BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HCHARLOTTE—L 22-38212727-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET1NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JONAH FITZGERALDQB FRRET
★2—00%——
11
HAYDEN WOLFFQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
MESSIAH DEWEAVERQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%——
4
STONE SMARTTQB SERET
★2—00%——
7
MESSIAH DEWEAVERQB —NO SNAPS
★4★300%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET55NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
KESEAN STRONGRB SERET
UNR—00%——
24
ROBERT WASHINGTONRB JURET
★2—00%——
44
MATT GEIGERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
ELIJAH DAVISRB JURET
★3—00%——
4
BLAKE WATSONRB SERET
★2★200%—HELD
22
KESHAWN WICKSRB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
31
QUIJOUN GORDONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
HASAAN PATTERSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
10
DARRELL BROWNWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
CORNELL HENDRICK JR.WR JURET
★2—00%——
9
DONTA ANTHONY JR.TE SERET
★2—00%——
3
ISAIAH SPENCERTE SERET
★2—00%——
9
ERIC KUMAHWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
2
NIGEL FITZGERALDWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
30
JAKE HERSLOWWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
MARCUS JOYNERTE SERET
★2★200%—HELD
16
AARON MOOREWR JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
4
DARIUS SAVEDGEWR JURET
UNR—00%——
6
CHRIS CUNNINGHAMTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
CONOR KRINGELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
82
ANTHONY WHITETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
ISAAC ABELTE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
87
BRAXTON COLLINSWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
JAVON HARVEYWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
3
FREDERIK ANTOINEWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
27
BRAXTON HAYESWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
JOHN JOHNSONWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
TERRANCE MOOREWR FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
30
NOAH SPENCERWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
STEVEN WILLIAMSWR —RET
★2—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
HAYDEN WOLFFHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JORELL BAUMHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
BILLY LUCASHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
COLE BIRDOWHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KEVIN DAMERONHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
BRAXTON COLLINSHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ELONTE JONESHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KHADERE KOUNTAHS RECRUITWDE★2UNR
FREDERIK ANTOINEHS RECRUITATH★2UNR
AUSTIN MOSIERHS RECRUITOC★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT27 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
WILL KNIGHTDELAWARERB★2UNR
DRAYTON ARNOLDCHATTANOOGAQB★3UNR
NOAH ELLISONWAGNERWR★3UNR
OSHANE XIMINESNFL DRAFT R3DEUNR—
TRAVIS FULGHAMNFL DRAFT R6WRUNR—
JUSTICE DAVILAELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
ISAIAH HARPERELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JUSTIN NOYEELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
PAT TOAL JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
RYAN LONDREEELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#116NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7926COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTBOTTOM QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
73TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
15
14
24
9
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED33 OF 73
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST30% BACK30th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG30% BACK30th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR1%1th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE