SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OREGON›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARIO CRISTOBAL|—RECORD8-4|CONF—
OREGON31 FPIB1G · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
82FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1312 BC / 25
BC RATIO
31%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
8-4ACTUALvs8.2-3.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.2 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+10.2
8 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
53MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 1HBOWLING GREEN—W 58-242533+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HPORTLAND STATE—W 62-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 35-22361212+57BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HSTANFORD—L 31-38888181-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29ACALIFORNIA—W 42-24685858+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HWASHINGTON#13W 30-27889090-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20AWASHINGTON STATE#10L 20-34567676-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27AARIZONA—L 15-44645656+13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3HUCLA—W 42-21874242+27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUTAH—L 25-32668888-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HARIZONA STATE—W 31-29806161+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AOREGON STATE—W 55-15511515+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET91NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JUSTIN HERBERTQB SERET
★3—00%——
5
BRAXTON BURMEISTERQB SERET
★4—00%——
17
MIKE IRWINQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET30NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DARRIAN FELIXRB SERET
★3—00%——
5
TAJ GRIFFINRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
TONY BROOKS-JAMESRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
CYRUS HABIBI-LIKIORB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
7
CJ VERDELLRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
TRAVIS DYERB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
40
NOAH DAHLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
39
KJ MADUIKERB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
43
DEMARQUES SINGLETONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
85
ELKANAH DILLONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
DAEWOOD DAVISWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
RYAN BAYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
25
KYLE BUCKNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
5
TABARI HINESWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
27
JACOB BREELANDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
13
DILLON MITCHELLWR JURET
★4—00%——
48
HUNTER KAMPMOYERTE SERET
★3—00%——
82
JUSTIN COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
3
JOHNNY JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JAYLON REDDWR SERET
★4—00%——
23
JACK VECCHIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
44
MATT MARIOTATE SERET
UNR—00%——
29
JOHN KELLERWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
37
NOAH HOLMESWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
KANO DILLONTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
83
ALFONSO COBBWR —RET
UNR—00%——
14
DEMETRI BURCHWR —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PENEI SEWELLHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
BRYAN ADDISONHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JALEN HALLHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
STEVE STEPHENSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TYLER SHOUGHHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
JEVON HOLLANDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
ADRIAN JACKSONHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
ISAAH CROCKERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SPENCER WEBBHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
STEVEN JONESHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT23 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
A.J. HOTCHKINSUTEPLBUNRUNR
ROYCE FREEMANNFL DRAFT R3RBUNR—
ALEX OFODILEELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
MALIK YOUNGELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
SCOTT PAGANONOT LISTEDDLUNR—
TYREE ROBINSONNOT LISTEDSUNR—
JUWAAN WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
KANI BENOITNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
DOUG BRENNERNOT LISTEDOLUNR—
ELIJAH GEORGENOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 25 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8824COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST62% BACK62th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG62% BACK62th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR91%91th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE