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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OREGON›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARIO CRISTOBAL|—RECORD11-2|CONF—
OREGON#5 AP 6 FPIB1G · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#715 BC / 26
BC RATIO
45%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
11-2ACTUALvs11.4-1.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+20.2
11 wins against a scoring profile describing 11.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
59MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31AAUBURN#14L 21-27919494-5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HNEVADA—W 77-6371414+75BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14HMONTANA—W 35-3————NON-FBS OPPONENT
4SEP 21ASTANFORD—W 21-6863333+56BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5HCALIFORNIA—W 17-7644343+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 11HCOLORADO—W 45-3663838+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19AWASHINGTON—W 35-31878888+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HWASHINGTON STATE—W 37-35507979+10BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AUSC—W 56-24988484+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HARIZONA—W 34-6552323+66BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AARIZONA STATE—L 28-31776767+22BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HOREGON STATE—W 24-10595151+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
15DEC 6HUTAH#16W 37-15669191-2BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JUSTIN HERBERTQB SERET
★3—00%——
9
TYLER SHOUGHQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
16
BRADLEY YAFFEQB SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET86NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DARRIAN FELIXRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
CYRUS HABIBI-LIKIORB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
7
CJ VERDELLRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
TRAVIS DYERB SERET
★3—00%——
4
SEAN DOLLARSRB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
40
NOAH DAHLRB JURET
UNR—00%——
CROSS PATTONRB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
JAYVAUN WILSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
39
KJ MADUIKERB SORET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
7
DAEWOOD DAVISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
JUWAN JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
RYAN BAYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
27
JACOB BREELANDTE SERET
UNR—00%——
48
HUNTER KAMPMOYERTE SERET
★3—00%——
3
JOHNNY JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JAYLON REDDWR SERET
★4—00%——
4
SPENCER WEBBTE JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
82
KORBIN WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
20
TEVIN JEANNISWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
5
MYCAH PITTMANWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
83
JOSH DELGADOWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
44
MATT MARIOTATE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
25
KYLE BUCKNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
82
JUSTIN COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JACK VECCHIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ISAAH CROCKERWR SENO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
89
JJ TUCKERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
LANCE WILHOITEWR FRTRUE FR
★4—00%——
1
JR WATERSWR SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
88
PATRICK HERBERTTE SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
24
VINCENZO LOGANWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
TYLER NANNEYTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAYVON THIBODEAUXHS RECRUITWDE★5UNR
MYKAEL WRIGHTHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
JONAH TAUANU'UHS RECRUITOT★4UNR
MASE FUNAHS RECRUITILB★4UNR
MYCAH PITTMANHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
LANCE WILHOITEHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
SEAN DOLLARSHS RECRUITAPB★4UNR
GE'MON EAFORDHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
JOSH DELGADOHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
PATRICK HERBERTHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT15 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TABARI HINESNC STATEWRUNRUNR
JUSTIN HOLLINSNFL DRAFT R5OLBUNR—
JALEN JELKSNFL DRAFT R7DEUNR—
UGOCHUKWU AMADINFL DRAFT R4SUNR—
DILLON MITCHELLNFL DRAFT R7WR★4—
BRAXTON BURMEISTERELIGIBILITY UPQB★4—
MATTRELL MCGRAWELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
TAJ GRIFFINELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
TONY BROOKS-JAMESELIGIBILITY UPRBUNR—
KAULANA APELUELIGIBILITY UPILBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#7NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
15OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8988COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
125TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
23
33
36
29
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +8 W
IMPROVED65 OF 125
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST83% BACK83th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG83% BACK83th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR98%98th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE