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HOME›TEAMS›OREGON›2020TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2020 FINAL
BIG TEN|MARIO CRISTOBAL|—RECORD4-2|CONF—
OREGON16 FPIB1G · 2020 SEASON
TALENT
88FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1212 BC / 24
BC RATIO
48%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2020 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
4-2ACTUALvs3.7-2.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.3
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE6 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
58MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
10NOV 7HSTANFORD—W 35-14865555+38BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 14AWASHINGTON STATE—W 43-29466262+31BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 21HUCLA—W 38-35754141+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27AOREGON STATE—L 38-41634343+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14DEC 5ACALIFORNIA—L 17-21576060+33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
16DEC 18AUSC#21W 31-24938484+9BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
TYLER SHOUGHQB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
13
ANTHONY BROWNQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
16
BRADLEY YAFFEQB SORET
★2—00%——
9
JAY BUTTERFIELDQB SONO SNAPS
★4★400%—HELD
2
ROBBY ASHFORDQB SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET92NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
33
CYRUS HABIBI-LIKIORB JURET
★3★300%—HELD
39
KJ MADUIKERB SORET
UNR—00%——
7
CJ VERDELLRB JURET
★3—00%——
26
TRAVIS DYERB SERET
★3—00%——
4
SEAN DOLLARSRB SERET
★4★300%—FELL
CROSS PATTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
3
TREY BENSONRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
20
JAYVAUN WILSONRB JURET
★4★400%—HELD
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
DEVON WILLIAMSWR SONO SNAPS
★4—00%——
48
HUNTER KAMPMOYERTE SERET
★3—00%——
1
JR WATERSWR SORET
★3★300%—HELD
3
JOHNNY JOHNSON IIIWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
JAYLON REDDWR SERET
★4—00%——
20
TEVIN JEANNISWR SORET
UNR—00%——
5
MYCAH PITTMANWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
83
JOSH DELGADOWR JURET
★4★400%—HELD
4
KRIS HUTSONWR SENO SNAPS
★4★300%—FELL
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★300%—HELD
7
DAEWOOD DAVISWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
14
SPENCER CURTISWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
JUSTIN COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
JACK VECCHIWR JURET
UNR—00%——
1
ISAAH CROCKERWR SERET
★4★400%—HELD
4
SPENCER WEBBTE JURET
★4—00%——
82
KORBIN WILLIAMSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
86
LANCE WILHOITEWR FRRET
★4—00%——
88
PATRICK HERBERTTE SERET
★4—00%——
24
VINCENZO LOGANWR SORET
UNR—00%——
89
TYLER NANNEYTE SORET
UNR—00%——
89
COOPER SHULTSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN FLOWEHS RECRUITILB★5UNR
NOAH SEWELLHS RECRUITILB★5UNR
DONTAE MANNINGHS RECRUITCB★5UNR
JAY BUTTERFIELDHS RECRUITPRO★4UNR
LUKE HILLHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KRIS HUTSONHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JONATHAN DENISHS RECRUITOG★4UNR
ROBBY ASHFORDHS RECRUITDUAL★4UNR
JADEN NAVARRETTEHS RECRUITATH★4UNR
JAYSON JONESHS RECRUITDT★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BRENDEN SCHOOLERTEXASDB★3★3
DARRIAN FELIXSOUTH FLORIDARB★3UNR
JAKE HANSONNFL DRAFT R6OLUNR—
JUSTIN HERBERTNFL DRAFT R1QB★3—
TROY DYENFL DRAFT R4LB★3—
HAKI WOODS JR.ELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
BRADY AIELLOELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
GARY BAKERELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
GUS CUMBERLANDERELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
CALVIN THROCKMORTONELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#12NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
12OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8899COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
48TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.5MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
3
11
10
12
12
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.3 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +10 W
IMPROVED24 OF 48
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST54% BACK54th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG54% BACK54th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE