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HOME›TEAMS›OREGON›2022TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2022 FINAL
BIG TEN|DAN LANNING|—RECORD10-3|CONF—
OREGON#15 AP 14 FPIB1G · 2022 SEASON
TALENT
96FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
0%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1311 BC / 21
BC RATIO
53%CLEARS
IS THE RECORD REAL2022 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
9-3ACTUALvs8.5-3.5FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.5 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.3
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.5. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE90
PERFORMANCE90
TALENT77
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE52
PERFORMANCE52
TALENT73
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
62MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 3AGEORGIA#1L 3-4999100100-8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 10HEASTERN WASHINGTON—W 70-14————NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 17HBYU—W 41-20234545+47BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 24AWASHINGTON STATE—W 44-41507272+20BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5OCT 1HSTANFORD—W 45-27852929+63BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 8AARIZONA—W 49-22664141+51BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 22HUCLA#21W 45-30808585+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 29ACALIFORNIA—W 42-24664242+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 5ACOLORADO—W 49-105655+87BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 12HWASHINGTON#8L 34-37858787+5BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 19HUTAH#10W 20-17779393-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 26AOREGON STATE#17L 34-38618484+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
BWLDEC 28ANORTH CAROLINA—W 28-27896565+27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB77TAL79PERF77RET0ONE OWNERn=1 · 8 METRICS · 8 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
BO NIXQB SENO SNAPS
★3—91100%+39—
9
JAY BUTTERFIELDQB SORET
★4★400%—HELD
15
JAKE VAN DYNEQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
19
MARCUS SANDERSQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB58TAL64PERF58RET4ROTATIONn=4 · 9 METRICS · 26 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
BUCKY IRVINGRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—9343%+19—
6
NOAH WHITTINGTONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—8833%+20—
4
SEAN DOLLARSRB SERET
★4★36111%+23FELL
20
JORDAN JAMESRB JUNO SNAPS
★4—538%+12—
21
BYRON CARDWELL JR.RB SERET
★4★3414%+28FELL
25
BRISON COBBINSRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
AARON SMITHRB FRRET
★3★200%—FELL
31
LA'VAUGHN LUELLENRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
ELLIS BYNUMRB JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
28
PRESTON ALFORDRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE63TAL89PERF63RET81ROTATIONn=8 · 8 METRICS · 48 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
TROY FRANKLINWR JURET
★4—9031%+28—
3
TERRANCE FERGUSONTE SERET
★4—8332%+27—
4
KRIS HUTSONWR SERET
★4★38224%+3FELL
84
CAM MCCORMICKTE SERET
★3★37828%-24HELD
23
CHASE COTAWR SENO SNAPS
★4—7722%+17—
88
MOLIKI MATAVAOTE SERET
★4★37526%+7FELL
1
DONT'E THORNTON JR.WR SERET
UNR★46714%+31EMERGED
88
PATRICK HERBERTTE SERET
★4—5713%——
7
SEVEN MCGEEWR SORET
★4★3536%-36FELL
83
JOSH DELGADOWR JURET
★4★4362%—HELD
3
KYLER KASPERWR JUNO SNAPS
★4★3231%—FELL
19
CALEB CHAPMANWR SENO SNAPS
★4★4170%-5HELD
1
ISAAH CROCKERWR SERET
★4★4170%—HELD
89
TYLER NANNEYTE SORET
UNR—101%——
15
ISAIAH BREVARDWR FRRET
★4—00%——
13
TY THOMPSONTE SERET
★4★300%—FELL
18
JUSTIUS LOWEWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
4
SPENCER WEBBTE JURET
★4—00%——
80
COLE PRUSIAWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
86
DARRIAN ANDERSONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
87
VON REAMESWR SORET
UNR—00%——
38
KADE WISHERWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
PETER BURKETE FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
82
MICHAEL JENNINGSWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
MALACHI RUSSELLWR SONO SNAPS
UNR★300%—EMERGED
▸OL68TAL70PERF68RET39n=7 · 3 METRICS · 20 OBS
▸DL41TAL70PERF41RET58n=10 · 8 METRICS · 55 OBS
▸LB27TAL87PERF27RET99n=7 · 11 METRICS · 43 OBS
▸DB55TAL65PERF55RET70n=8 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS21 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH CONERLY JR.HS RECRUITOT★5UNR
DEVON JACKSONHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
JALIL TUCKERHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
KYLER KASPERHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
JAHLIL FLORENCEHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
DAVE IULIHS RECRUITIOL★4UNR
JORDAN JAMESHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
TREJON WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★4UNR
HARRISON TAGGARTHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
KHAMARI TERRELLHS RECRUITCB★4UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JAYLIN DAVIESUCLACB★4★3
JAYSON JONESAUBURNDL★4UNR
SPENCER CURTISNEVADAWR★2UNR
TRAVIS DYEUSCRB★3UNR
MYCAH PITTMANFLORIDA STATEWR★4★4
CROSS PATTONNEVADARBUNRUNR
KRISTIAN WILLIAMSMISSOURIDT★4UNR
TREY BENSONFLORIDA STATERB★4UNR
JORDAN HAPPLEELIGIBILITY UPS★3—
ANTHONY BROWNELIGIBILITY UPQB★3—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#13NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
11OF 21 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8916COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST17% BACK17th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG17% BACK17th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR39%39th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR0%0th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST70%70th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE