SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›OREGON STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
PAC-12|GARY ANDERSEN|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
OREGON STATE107 FPIPAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
57FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#512 BC / 18
BC RATIO
14%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs1.8-10.2FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-22.3
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.8. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26ACOLORADO STATE—L 27-58425656-41BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HPORTLAND STATE—W 35-32————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HMINNESOTA—L 14-48544444-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWASHINGTON STATE—L 23-52556969-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HWASHINGTON#16L 7-42839393-78BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUSC#12L 10-38988787-72BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HCOLORADO—L 33-36595050-35BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HSTANFORD#20L 14-15908585-70BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ACALIFORNIA—L 23-37644242-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11AARIZONA—L 28-49665454-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HARIZONA STATE—L 24-40854747-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25AOREGON—L 10-69847171-56BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET42NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
6
JAKE LUTONQB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
DARELL GARRETSONQB —RET
UNR—00%——
12
CONOR BLOUNTQB SORET
UNR—00%——
4
AIDAN WILLARDQB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET89NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
34
RYAN NALLRB —RET
UNR—00%——
21
ARTAVIS PIERCERB SERET
★3—00%——
24
TREVORRIS JOHNSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
THOMAS TYNERRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
4
CALVIN TYLER JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
CHRISTIAN WALLACERB SORET
★4—00%——
32
MIKEY ALFIERIRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
KASE ROGERSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
HUNTER MATTSONRB —RET
UNR—00%——
2
CALVIN TYLER, JR.RB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
13
JORDAN VILLAMINWR —RET
UNR—00%——
7
XAVIER HAWKINSWR —RET
UNR—00%——
86
ANDRE BODDENWR SERET
UNR—00%——
8
TREVON BRADFORDWR SERET
★3—00%——
81
NOAH TOGIAITE SERET
UNR—00%——
82
TULI WILY-MATAGITE JURET
UNR—00%——
18
TIMMY HERNANDEZWR SERET
UNR—00%——
17
ISAIAH HODGINSWR JUNO SNAPS
★4—00%——
9
TINO ALLENWR SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
AARON SHORTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
BRYCE BRAMSCHERTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
10
ISAIAH SMALLSTE SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
84
TANNER WALKERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
83
QUINN SMITHTE —RET
UNR—00%——
80
CONNOR LAVERTYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS18 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
ISAIAH HODGINSHS RECRUITWR★4UNR
DAVID MORRISHS RECRUITOLB★4UNR
KOLBY TAYLORHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
TRAJON COTTONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
QUANTINO ALLENHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
MOKU WATSONHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CALVIN TYLERHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
AIDAN WILLARDHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JEFFREY MANNINGHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TRAVIS MACKAYHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT16 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KENDALL HILLGRAMBLINGCBUNRUNR
MARCUS MCMARYIONFRESNO STATEQBUNRUNR
TRESTON DECOUDNFL DRAFT R5CBUNR—
PAUL LUCASELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
RICKY ORTIZNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
CALEB SAULONOT LISTEDILBUNR—
NOKE TAGONOT LISTEDDTUNR—
VICTOR BOLDEN JR.NOT LISTEDWRUNR—
HUNTER JARMONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
DEVIN CHAPPELLNOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#51NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
2OF 18 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8425COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
39TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
2
14
4
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.5 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +8 W
IMPROVED19 OF 39
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST64% BACK64th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG64% BACK64th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR42%42th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE