SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›PITTSBURGH›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
ACC|PAT NARDUZZI|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
PITTSBURGH57 FPIACC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
75FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#374 BC / 24
BC RATIO
18%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
5-7ACTUALvs5.3-6.7FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD2-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-2.7
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.3. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
67MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
5 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HYOUNGSTOWN STATE—W 28-21————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9APENN STATE#8L 14-33869696-33BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HOKLAHOMA STATE#14L 21-59728989-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AGEORGIA TECH—L 17-35617070-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HRICE—W 42-102522+61BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7ASYRACUSE—L 24-27535656+7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HNC STATE#23L 17-35678282-19BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21ADUKE—W 24-17706464-1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28HVIRGINIA—W 31-14654646+17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNORTH CAROLINA—L 31-34805757+6BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18AVIRGINIA TECH#24L 14-20768484-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HMIAMI#13W 24-14868787-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET3NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
4
MAX BROWNEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
3
BEN DINUCCIQB —RET
UNR—00%——
8
KENNY PICKETTQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
12
RICKY TOWNQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
THOMAS MACVITTIEQB —RET
★3—00%——
3
BEN DINUCCIQB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET32NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
26
CHAWNTEZ MOSSRB —RET
★3★300%—HELD
37
QADREE OLLISONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
22
DARRIN HALLRB SERET
UNR—00%——
1
A.J. DAVISRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
TODD SIBLEYRB SENO SNAPS
★4—00%——
35
GEORGE ASTONFB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
KYLE VREENRB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
48
PEYTON DERIFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
40
COLTON LIVELYFB —RET
UNR—00%——
47
RYAN SLIWOSKIFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
49
ERIK SELLERSFB —RET
UNR—00%——
36
SHAWN WOODRB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
QUADREE HENDERSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
87
CHRIS CLARKTE —RET
★2—00%——
82
RAFAEL ARAUJO-LOPESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
81
JIM MEDURETE SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MAURICE FFRENCHWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
AARON MATHEWSWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
JESTER WEAHWR —RET
UNR—00%——
88
MATT FLANAGANTE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
NATHAN BOSSORYTE —RET
UNR—00%——
48
KELLEN MCALONEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
35
TYLER SEARTE JURET
UNR—00%——
6
TRE TIPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
46
MICHAEL VARDZELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
41
JAKE ZILINSKASTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
9
DARIAN STREETWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
19
CHARLES REEVES JR.TE —NO SNAPS
★4—00%——
5
RUBEN FLOWERS IIIWR —RET
★3—00%——
34
MARK BERNSDORFFWR —RET
UNR—00%——
45
DEVON EDWARDSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
PARIS FORDHS RECRUITS★4UNR
TODD SIBLEYHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CHARLES REEVESHS RECRUITTE★4UNR
A.J. DAVISHS RECRUITRB★4UNR
CARTER WARRENHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
JAYLEN TWYMANHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
DAMARRI MATHISHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JERRY DRAKE JR.HS RECRUITOT★3UNR
KENNY PICKETTHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
KYLE NUNNHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT21 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
RACHID IBRAHIMWISCONSINRBUNRUNR
JEREMIAH TALENIFLORIDA ATLANTICDLUNRUNR
EJUAN PRICENFL DRAFT R7DLUNR—
NATHAN PETERMANNFL DRAFT R5QBUNR—
JAMES CONNERNFL DRAFT R3RBUNR—
BAM BRADLEYNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
MIKE CAPRARANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
RYAN LEWISNOT LISTEDDBUNR—
MANNY STOCKERNOT LISTEDQBUNR—
DONTEZ FORDNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#37NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
4OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8519COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENTTOP QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
68TEAMS
MATCHED THIS
-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
14
11
19
16
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.3 TO +1.0 W
FULL RANGE-11 TO +7 W
IMPROVED24 OF 68
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST36% BACK36th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG36% BACK36th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR3%3th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE