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● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›PITTSBURGH›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
ACC|PAT NARDUZZI|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
PITTSBURGH61 FPIACC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
70FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#580 BC / 20
BC RATIO
8%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs5.4-6.6FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD5-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.8
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.4. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
61MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HVIRGINIA—L 14-30586767-3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 7HOHIO—W 20-10156363+1BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14APENN STATE#9L 10-17939696-32BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HUCF#24W 35-34619090-26BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 28HDELAWARE—W 17-142———NON-FBS OPPONENT
6OCT 5ADUKE—W 33-30694848+16BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 18ASYRACUSE—W 27-20554141+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26HMIAMI—L 12-16887676-12BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2AGEORGIA TECH—W 20-10681515+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 14HNORTH CAROLINA—W 34-27807878-14BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AVIRGINIA TECH—L 0-28807171-7BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HBOSTON COLLEGE—L 19-26532929+35BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET99NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
8
KENNY PICKETTQB SERET
★3—00%——
12
NICK PATTIQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
3
JEFF GEORGE JR.QB SERET
UNR—00%——
11
DAVIS BEVILLEQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
18
ELI KOSANOVICHQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET8NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
A.J. DAVISRB SERET
★4—00%——
5
VINCENT DAVIS JR.RB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
TODD SIBLEYRB SERET
★4—00%——
39
KYLE VREENRB JURET
UNR—00%——
48
PEYTON DERIFB JURET
UNR—00%——
40
GREY BRANCIFORTFB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
20
PARIS BROWNRB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
4
DANIEL CARTERRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
WILL GRAGGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
NAKIA GRIFFIN-STEWARTTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
JIM MEDURETE SERET
UNR—00%——
2
MAURICE FFRENCHWR SERET
★3—00%——
6
AARON MATHEWSWR SERET
★3—00%——
88
DONTAVIUS BUTLER-JENKINSWR SORET
UNR—00%——
19
V'LIQUE CARTERWR SORET
★3—00%——
11
TAYSIR MACKWR SERET
★3—00%——
3
MICHAEL SMITHWR SERET
★3★300%—HELD
6
TRE TIPTONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
18
SHOCKY JACQUES-LOUISWR SERET
★3—00%——
83
JOHN VARDZELWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
89
KAYMAR MIMESTE JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
5
JARED WAYNEWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
46
MICHAEL VARDZELWR JURET
UNR—00%——
41
JAKE ZILINSKASTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
GRANT CARRIGANTE SERET
★3—00%——
85
GARRETT BICKHARTWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
JAKE CORTESTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
CAMERON O'NEILWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
14
WILL GIPSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
15
KYI WRIGHTTE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
11
GAVIN THOMSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JOSH JUNKOWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
34
JACOB HUNSINGERWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
35
ISAIAH STEWARTWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS20 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAVIS BEVILLEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
DANIEL CARTERHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRANDON HILLHS RECRUITS★3UNR
MATT GONCALVESHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
BRANDON GEORGEHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JASON COLLIERHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
CALIJAH KANCEYHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
VINCENT DAVISHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
BRYCE NELMSHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
DEANDRE JULESHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT18 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYLER SEARTEMPLETEUNRUNR
QADREE OLLISONNFL DRAFT R5RBUNR—
RAFAEL ARAUJO-LOPESELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
DEWAYNE HENDRIXELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
DENNIS BRIGGSELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
ELIJAH ZEISEELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
PHILLIPIE MOTLEYELIGIBILITY UPDBUNR—
JAMES FOLSTON JR.ELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
QUINTIN WIRGINISELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
SHANE ROYELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#58NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 20 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8527COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
28TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
0
4
12
4
8
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +3.0 W
FULL RANGE-3 TO +5 W
IMPROVED12 OF 28
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST58% BACK58th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG58% BACK58th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR99%99th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE