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HOME›TEAMS›PITTSBURGH›2023TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2023 FINAL
ACC|PAT NARDUZZI|—RECORD3-9|CONF—
PITTSBURGH66 FPIACC · 2023 SEASON
TALENT
72FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
66%SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
87%SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-6IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#511 BC / 19
BC RATIO
15%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2023 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
3-9ACTUALvs3.9-8.1FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.9 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-7.2
3 wins against a scoring profile describing 3.9. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE19
PERFORMANCE19
TALENT53
CONTINUITY66
DEFENSE86
PERFORMANCE86
TALENT71
CONTINUITY87
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
63MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
3 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HWOFFORD—W 45-7————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9HCINCINNATI—L 21-27643434-2BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AWEST VIRGINIA—L 6-17647272-40BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HNORTH CAROLINA—L 24-41887171-39BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AVIRGINIA TECH—L 21-38586666-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HLOUISVILLE#19W 38-21807575-43BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21AWAKE FOREST—L 17-21502828+4BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ANOTRE DAME#14L 7-58939595-63BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HFLORIDA STATE#6L 7-24869494-62BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ASYRACUSE—L 13-28504040-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 16HBOSTON COLLEGE—W 24-16613838-6BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25ADUKE—L 19-30527878-46BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB56TAL56PERF56RET18ONE OWNERn=3 · 7 METRICS · 12 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXQB SEPORTAL · PENN STATE
★3★37149%-26HELD
5
PHIL JURKOVECQB SEPORTAL · BOSTON COLLEGE
★4★36433%+12FELL
19
NATE YARNELLQB SERET
★3★35318%+39HELD
17
JAKE FRANTLQB JURET
UNR—00%——
7
TY DIEFFENBACHQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
16
DAVID LYNCHQB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB55TAL50PERF55RET99ONE OWNERn=3 · 5 METRICS · 13 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
2
RODNEY HAMMOND JR.RB SERET
★3★38445%-14HELD
24
C'BO FLEMISTERRB SERET
★3—8240%-34—
4
DANIEL CARTERRB SERET
★3—5612%+39—
34
DERRICK DAVIS JR.RB SEPORTAL · LSU
★4★3121%-8HELD
30
CALEB WILLIAMSRB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
25
TJ HARVISONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾WR/TE62TAL46PERF62RET72ONE OWNERn=7 · 8 METRICS · 45 OBS
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
9
KONATA MUMPFIELDWR SERET
★3—9232%+3—
86
GAVIN BARTHOLOMEWTE SERET
★3—9149%0—
BUB MEANSWR SERET
★3—9131%+26—
8
KARTER JOHNSONTE SERET
★4—8034%+7—
3
DAEJON REYNOLDSWR JUPORTAL · FLORIDA
★4★37922%+5FELL
2
KENNY JOHNSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3★36412%-39HELD
7
MALCOLM EPPSTE SEPORTAL · USC
★4★36114%0FELL
5
ISRAEL POLKWR JUNO SNAPS
★3★3362%—HELD
17
JAKE RENDATE SERET
★3★3282%—HELD
7
JAKE MCCONNACHIEWR SERET
UNR★3211%—EMERGED
85
JOSH ALTSMANTE JURET
UNR—191%——
23
ZION FOWLER-ELWR SONO SNAPS
★3★3150%—HELD
21
CHE NWABUKOWR SORET
★3—130%——
81
PETER VARDZELWR JURET
UNR—60%——
29
JOSH JUNKOWR SERET
UNR—00%——
40
ADDISON COPELAND IIIWR FRRET
★3★300%—HELD
83
LAMAR SEYMOREWR FRTRUE FR
★3★300%—HELD
80
COLE MITCHELLTE SORET
★2—00%——
47
CADEN SMITHWR JURET
UNR—00%——
4
LORENZO JENKINSWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
22
DEVIN WHITLOCKWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
44
ADAM HOWANITZTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
THADDEUS SHAWWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
29
BENNY HASELRIGWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL47TAL63PERF47RET71n=8 · 3 METRICS · 22 OBS
▸DL73TAL64PERF73RET97n=12 · 7 METRICS · 58 OBS
▸LB79TAL81PERF79RET86n=7 · 10 METRICS · 40 OBS
▸DB56TAL71PERF56RET76n=6 · 8 METRICS · 38 OBS
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JORDAN BASSHS RECRUITLB★4UNR
ISAIAH NEALHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
SHADARIAN HARRISONHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
KENNY JOHNSONHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANTONIO CAMONHS RECRUITEDGE★3UNR
T.J. HARVISONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
RYAN CARRETTAHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
RASHEEM BILESHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
BRAYLAN LOVELACEHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
CRUCE BROOKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN6 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DONOVAN MCMILLONFLORIDAS★4★4
DERRICK DAVIS JR.LSURB★4★3
CHRISTIAN VEILLEUXPENN STATEQB★3★3
PHIL JURKOVECBOSTON COLLEGEQB★4★3
JACKSON BROWNCALIFORNIAOT★3★3
MALCOLM EPPSUSCTE★4★3
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT24 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOHN MORGAN IIIARKANSASDL★3UNR
KEDON SLOVISBYUQB★3★3
VINCENT DAVIS JR.UNLVRB★3UNR
JUDSON TALLANDIER IIAKRONDB★3UNR
JAYLON BARDENGEORGIA SOUTHERNWR★3★4
KYI WRIGHTJAMES MADISONTE★3★3
JEHVONN LEWISSOUTHERN UTAHDBUNRUNR
MARCUS MINORELIGIBILITY UPOL★4—
ERICK HALLETT IIELIGIBILITY UPDB★3—
SIRVOCEA DENNISELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CARRIES66%5 DEPARTED BALL-CARRIERS
TARGETS48%9 DEPARTED PASS-CATCHERS
CLASS RANK
#51NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
1OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8666COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
713 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT2ND QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
74TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-2.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
16
24
15
12
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.8 W
FULL RANGE-8 TO +5 W
IMPROVED19 OF 74
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST29% BACK29th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG29% BACK29th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR71%71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR18%18th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST76%76th PCTL2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE