SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2021 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›RICE›2021TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2021 FINAL
AMERICAN ATHLETIC|MIKE BLOOMGREN|—RECORD4-8|CONF—
RICE122 FPIAAC · 2021 SEASON
TALENT
28FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
-2IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#930 BC / 19
BC RATIO
1%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2021 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
4-8ACTUALvs2.7-9.3FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+1.3 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-2
AVG SCORING MARGIN-14.7
4 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.7. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
48MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 4AARKANSAS#21L 17-38808484-81BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 11HHOUSTON#17L 7-44537777-74BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 18ATEXAS—L 0-58936464-61BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 25HTEXAS SOUTHERN—W 48-34————NON-FBS OPPONENT
5OCT 2HSOUTHERN MISS—W 24-19391111-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 16AUTSA—L 0-45445656-53BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 23AUAB—W 30-24346767-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 30HNORTH TEXAS—L 24-30422828-25BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 6ACHARLOTTE—L 24-31371212-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 13HWESTERN KENTUCKY—L 21-42478282-79BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 20AUTEP—L 28-38123030-27BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 27HLOUISIANA TECH—W 35-31451717-14BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET10NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
JAKE CONSTANTINEQB SEPORTAL · WEBER STATE
★3—00%——
5
WILEY GREENQB JURET
★2—00%——
13
TJ MCMAHONQB SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
20
SHAWQI ITRAISHQB SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
21
JOSHUA BAILEYQB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
CAMERON MONTGOMERYRB SERET
★2—00%——
6
KHALAN GRIFFINRB SORET
★3—00%——
21
JUMA OTOVIANORB SERET
★3—00%——
5
ARI BROUSSARDRB SERET
UNR—00%——
85
BRENDAN SUCKLEYFB SORET
UNR—00%——
22
DILLON DAVISRB SERET
UNR—00%——
44
GERON HARGONFB JURET
★3—00%——
42
BRIAN HIBBARDFB FRRET
★3—00%——
27
AYDEN NORIEGARB FRRET
★2—00%——
44
HARRISON WITTFB FRRET
UNR—00%——
26
CHRISTIAN FRANCISCORB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
83
JAEGER BULLTE SERET
★2—00%——
16
ANDREW MASONWR SORET
★3—00%——
2
KOBIE CAMPBELLWR SERET
★3—00%——
4
CEDRIC PATTERSON IIIWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
7
JORDAN MYERSTE SERET
★2—00%——
80
BRADLEY ROZNERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
12
JAKE BAILEYWR SERET
★3—00%——
32
JERRY JOHNSON IIITE SERET
★2★300%—ROSE
18
ROBERT FRENCHTE SORET
★2—00%——
87
JACK BRADLEYTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
AUGUST PITREWR SERET
★2—00%——
10
LUKE MCCAFFREYWR JUPORTAL · NEBRASKA
★4★300%—FELL
28
AARON CEPHUSWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
20
CJ MCCORDWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
ZANE KNIPEWR FRRET
★3—00%——
1
JOVONI JOHNSON-MCCRAYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BENNETT MECOMWR SORET
UNR—00%——
42
TREY PHILLIPPITE SORET
★3—00%——
38
JASHON PALMERWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
14
NATE KAMPERTE FRRET
★3—00%——
88
JAGGAR HEBEISENTE JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
23
CASEY TAWAWR FRRET
★3—00%——
89
MICHAEL HAACKWR FRRET
UNR—00%——
25
REID WESTERVELTWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
80
JAY FOLMARWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
83
ZION JOHNKINSWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
86
CONNOR WELSHTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DJ ARKANSASHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
ETHAN ONIANWAHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
KENNY SEYMOUR JR.HS RECRUITLB★3UNR
PEYTON STEVENSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JAGGAR HEBEISENHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
AIDAN SIANOHS RECRUITLB★3UNR
SHAWQI ITRAISHHS RECRUITQB★3UNR
MARCUS WILLIAMSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
JOHN LONGHS RECRUITIOL★3UNR
ELROYAL MORRISHS RECRUITDL★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN3 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
LUKE MCCAFFREYNEBRASKAQB★4★3
CEDRIC PATTERSONNEW MEXICOWRUNR★3
JAKE CONSTANTINEWEBER STATEDUAL★3UNR
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT6 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
BLAZE ALLDREDGEMISSOURILBUNR★3
JAVANTE HUBBARDELIGIBILITY UPDEUNR—
AUSTIN TRAMMELLELIGIBILITY UPWR★2—
GARRETT GRAMMERELIGIBILITY UPLB★2—
MIKE COLLINSELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
MATTHEW SAMSNOT LISTEDDB★2—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#93NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8219COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
35 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNINGUNDER 40%QUARTERBACKNEW
63TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
14
23
8
7
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-3.0 TO +0.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +5 W
IMPROVED15 OF 63
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST71% BACK71th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG71% BACK71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR10%10th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE