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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN DIEGO STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
PAC-12|ROCKY LONG|—RECORD10-2|CONF—
SAN DIEGO STATE51 FPIPAC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
39FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#770 BC / 26
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
10-2ACTUALvs9.2-2.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN+12.0
10 wins against a scoring profile describing 9.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
31MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1SEP 2HUC DAVIS—W 38-17————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9AARIZONA STATE—W 30-20854747+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16HSTANFORD#20W 20-17908585-27BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23AAIR FORCE—W 28-2411818+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30HNORTHERN ILLINOIS—W 34-28304141+17BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7AUNLV—W 41-10181212+46BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14HBOISE STATE#22L 14-31477171-13BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 21HFRESNO STATE—L 3-27313737+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28AHAWAI'I—W 28-71755+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 52-73344+54BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18HNEVADA—W 42-232399+49BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HNEW MEXICO—W 35-10231616+42BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CHRISTIAN CHAPMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
2
CAM ROANEQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
9
RYAN AGNEWQB SERET
UNR—00%——
4
JORDON BROOKSHIREQB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
29
JUWAN WASHINGTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
ISAAC LESSARDFB SERET
UNR—00%——
15
NICK BAWDENFB —RET
UNR—00%——
20
RASHAAD PENNYRB —RET
UNR—00%——
24
TYLER WORMHOUDTRB —RET
UNR—00%——
22
CHASE JASMINRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
CHAD WOOLSEYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
35
GRADY VAZQUEZFB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
45
ANDREW LANEFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
38
ADAM EASTWOODFB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
31
JOHN CARROLLFB —RET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
82
PARKER HOUSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
84
DARRYL RICHARDSONTE —RET
UNR—00%——
88
DAVID WELLSTE —RET
UNR—00%——
7
FRED TREVILLIONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
MIKAH HOLDERWR —RET
UNR—00%——
37
LIAM CABRERAWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
QUEST TRUXTONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
81
COLLIN ANDREWSWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
85
CHAZ COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
87
KAHALE WARRINGTE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
ISIAH MACKLINWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
TIM WILSON JR.WR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
6
DOMINIC BENSONWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
47
GABE STRONGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
93
TIM WILSON, JR.WR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
BRANDON FITZPATRICKWR —RET
UNR—00%——
97
KYRE RICHARDSONWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
91
SHANE COLEMANTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS25 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
KAEGUN WILLIAMSHS RECRUITAPB★3UNR
DARREN HALLHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
CAM ROANEHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
TAYARI VENABLEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
ANDREW ALEKIHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
DOMINIC GUDINOHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
CADEN MCDONALDHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
CHANCE BELLHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
MARK BROWNHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
CHRIS MARTINEZHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT22 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DONNEL PUMPHREYNFL DRAFT R4RBUNR—
DAMONTAE KAZEENFL DRAFT R5CBUNR—
DANIEL BRUNSKILLNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
ERIC JUDGENOT LISTEDWRUNR—
TANNER BLAINNOT LISTEDPUNR—
CHASE FAVREAUNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MALIK SMITHNOT LISTEDSUNR—
KALAN MONTGOMERYNOT LISTEDCBUNR—
FRED MELIFONWUNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
CALVIN MUNSONNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#77NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 26 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8107COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST61% BACK61th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG61% BACK61th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE