SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN DIEGO STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
PAC-12|ROCKY LONG|—RECORD7-5|CONF—
SAN DIEGO STATE90 FPIPAC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
43FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#790 BC / 24
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
7-5ACTUALvs6.2-5.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD6-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+0.6
7 wins against a scoring profile describing 6.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
45MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31ASTANFORD—L 10-31888181-17BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
2SEP 8HSACRAMENTO STATE—W 28-140———NON-FBS OPPONENT
3SEP 15HARIZONA STATE—W 28-21806161+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 22HEASTERN MICHIGAN—W 23-20143434+30BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6ABOISE STATE#23W 19-13537979-15BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HAIR FORCE—W 21-1773535+29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20HSAN JOSÉ STATE—W 16-13361212+52BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27ANEVADA—L 24-28374141+23BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3ANEW MEXICO—W 31-23332424+40BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10HUNLV—L 24-27311919+45BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17AFRESNO STATE#18L 14-23428888-24BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24HHAWAI'I—L 30-31132121+43BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
10
CHRISTIAN CHAPMANQB SERET
UNR—00%——
9
RYAN AGNEWQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MARK SALAZARQB JUNO SNAPS
★2★200%—HELD
4
JORDON BROOKSHIREQB SERET
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET36NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JORDAN BYRDRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
29
JUWAN WASHINGTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
ISAAC LESSARDFB SERET
UNR—00%——
21
CHANCE BELLRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
KAEGUN WILLIAMSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
24
ZIDANE THOMASRB SONO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
22
CHASE JASMINRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
GRADY VAZQUEZFB JURET
UNR—00%——
4
CHAD WOOLSEYFB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
96
ELIJAH KOTHEWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
82
PARKER HOUSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
ETHAN DEDEAUXWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
7
FRED TREVILLIONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
23
BJ BUSBEEWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
DANIEL BELLINGERTE JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
1
KOBE SMITHWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
87
KAHALE WARRINGTE JURET
UNR—00%——
86
ISIAH MACKLINWR JURET
★3—00%——
13
ISAIAH RICHARDSONWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
47
GABE STRONGTE SERET
UNR—00%——
6
TIM WILSON JR.WR SORET
UNR—00%——
85
CHAZ COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
6
DOMINIC BENSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ALEX WILSONTE JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
KOBY DURUWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
32
CONNOR MCBRIDETE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
97
KYRE RICHARDSONWR —RET
★2—00%——
84
BRENNAN HAWKINSTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
37
KASHAN GRIFFINWR —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
91
SHANE COLEMANTE —RET
★3—00%——
89
NIC MCTEARTE —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS24 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
J.R. JUSTICEHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
KOBE SMITHHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
NIC MCTEARHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
ZIDANE THOMASHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
WILLIAM DUNKLEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ALAMA ULUAVEHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
RASHAD SCOTTHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
CEDARIOUS BARFIELDHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
DENAYLAN FUIMAONOHS RECRUITS★3UNR
CARSON BAKERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT20 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
NICK BAWDENNFL DRAFT R7FBUNR—
RASHAAD PENNYNFL DRAFT R1RBUNR—
DAKOTA TURNERNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
RANDY RICKSNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TREY LOMAXNOT LISTEDSUNR—
TYLER MORRISNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
DARRYL RICHARDSONNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
DAVID WELLSNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
RYAN DUNNNOT LISTEDLBUNR—
SERGIO PHILLIPSNOT LISTEDDLUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#79NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 24 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8184COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR100%100th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE