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HOME›TEAMS›SAN DIEGO STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
PAC-12|ROCKY LONG|—RECORD9-3|CONF—
SAN DIEGO STATE62 FPIPAC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
45FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#910 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD MATCHES SCORING
9-3ACTUALvs8.6-3.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.4 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN+6.2
9 wins against a scoring profile describing 8.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
33MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
0 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 31HWEBER STATE—W 6-0————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7AUCLA—W 23-14854040+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
3SEP 14ANEW MEXICO STATE—W 31-10855+53BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21HUTAH STATE—L 17-23303737+21BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 5ACOLORADO STATE—W 24-10454040+18BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12HWYOMING—W 26-22235050+8BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19ASAN JOSÉ STATE—W 27-17312424+34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AUNLV—W 20-173888+50BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9HNEVADA—L 13-17371414+44BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 15HFRESNO STATE—W 17-7403939+19BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AHAWAI'I—L 11-14294747+11BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HBYU—W 13-3515555+3BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
CARSON BAKERQB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
4
JORDON BROOKSHIREQB SERET
★2—00%——
9
RYAN AGNEWQB SERET
UNR—00%——
5
MARK SALAZARQB JURET
★2★200%—HELD
7
JOE GREENQB FRTRUE FR
★2—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET100NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
15
JORDAN BYRDRB SERET
★3—00%——
37
CLIFFTON STYLESFB SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
29
JUWAN WASHINGTONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
34
ISAAC LESSARDFB SERET
UNR—00%——
27
JUSTIN DINKARB SONO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
CHANCE BELLRB SERET
★3—00%——
7
KAEGUN WILLIAMSRB SERET
★3—00%——
24
ZIDANE THOMASRB SORET
★3★300%—HELD
22
CHASE JASMINRB SERET
★3—00%——
35
GRADY VAZQUEZFB JURET
UNR—00%——
22
GREG BELLRB SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
96
ELIJAH KOTHEWR SERET
★2—00%——
45
JESSE MATTHEWSWR SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
82
PARKER HOUSTONTE SERET
★3—00%——
81
ETHAN DEDEAUXWR SERET
★3—00%——
23
BJ BUSBEEWR SERET
UNR—00%——
80
TJ SULLIVANWR SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
88
DANIEL BELLINGERTE JURET
★2—00%——
1
KOBE SMITHWR SERET
★3—00%——
13
ISAIAH RICHARDSONWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
CHAZ COLLINSWR SERET
UNR—00%——
86
ISIAH MACKLINWR JURET
★3—00%——
6
DOMINIC BENSONWR SERET
UNR—00%——
83
ALEX WILSONTE JURET
UNR—00%——
89
NIC MCTEARTE FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
34
JR JUSTICEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
KOBY DURUWR SERET
★2—00%——
31
NASH DEVANWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
32
CONNOR MCBRIDETE SERET
UNR—00%——
10
BRIONNE PENNYWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
82
ANTHONY LANDPHERETE SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
37
JURNE SMITHWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
43
JASPER KADLECWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
49
CHARLIE ROGERSTE FRTRUE FR
★2★200%—HELD
89
NIC MCTEARTE —RET
★3—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JUSTIN DINKAHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
JOEY CAPRAHS RECRUITOC★3UNR
BRIONNE PENNYHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
JEFFREY BLAKEHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
MICHAEL SHAWCROFTHS RECRUITILB★3UNR
NASSIR SIMSHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
KYRON WHITEHS RECRUITS★3UNR
BRANDON CRENSHAW-DICKSONHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ANTHONY LANDPHEREHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
SHAWN NIELSENHS RECRUITSDE★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DAMON MOOREFLORIDA INTERNATIONALDLUNRUNR
KAHALE WARRINGNFL DRAFT R3TEUNR—
CHRISTIAN CHAPMANELIGIBILITY UPQBUNR—
FRED TREVILLIONELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
NOBLE HALLELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
PARKER BALDWINELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
RONLEY LAKALAKAELIGIBILITY UPLBUNR—
CHIBU ONYEUKWUELIGIBILITY UPDLUNR—
CHAD WOOLSEYELIGIBILITY UPFBUNR—
MARC ELLISELIGIBILITY UPSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#91NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8165COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST79% BACK79th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG79% BACK79th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR71%71th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE