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● LIVE|2017 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2017TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2017 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD2-11|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE124 FPIMWC · 2017 SEASON
TALENT
33FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#980 BC / 19
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2017 · FULL SEASON
RECORD OVERSTATES
2-11ACTUALvs1.2-11.8FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING+0.8 W
ONE SCORE RECORD1-0
AVG SCORING MARGIN-25.8
2 wins against a scoring profile describing 1.2. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE13 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
42MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
1 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 26HSOUTH FLORIDA#21L 22-42567575-71BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
1SEP 2HCAL POLY—W 34-13————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 9ATEXAS—L 0-56917777-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 16AUTAH—L 16-54718181-77BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
4SEP 23HUTAH STATE—L 10-61173535-31BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 30AUNLV—L 13-41181212-8BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 7HFRESNO STATE—L 10-27313737-33BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 14AHAWAI'I—L 26-371755-1BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
9OCT 28ABYU—L 20-41612424-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 4HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 7-52395858-54BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 11ANEVADA—L 14-592399-5BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
12NOV 18ACOLORADO STATE—L 14-42425656-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 25HWYOMING—W 20-1783838-34BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET16NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JOSH LOVEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
13
SAM ALLENQB —RET
UNR—00%——
7
MONTEL AARONQB —RET
★3—00%——
14
MICHAEL CARRILLOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
RYAN JOHNSONQB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
2
TERRELL CARTERQB —NO SNAPS
★3—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET98NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DEJON PACKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
39
FRANCOISE SIMS IIRB SORET
UNR—00%——
40
SAGE RITCHIERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
46
SEAN PINSONRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
BRANDON MONROERB SERET
★2—00%——
20
MALIKE ROBERSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
JAMAR WILLIAMSRB SORET
★2—00%——
23
TYLER NEVENSRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
38
ROMERO TEURB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
36
HUNTER NYERB SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
39
FRANCOISE SIMS, IIRB —RET
★2—00%——
24
JERRELL ALBERTYRB —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
1
JEREMY KELLYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
11
JAQUAN BLACKWELLWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
81
BILLY BOB HUMPHREYSTE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
8
RAHSHEAD JOHNSONWR —RET
UNR—00%——
26
AUSTIN LILESWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
82
BRANDON MITCHELLWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
30
JACKSON BURRILLTE SENO SNAPS
★2—00%——
10
TRE WALKERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
15
TRE HARTLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JUSTIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BAILEY GAITHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JOSH OLIVERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
22
THAI COTTRELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
BRETT FOLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ANTWAUN AYERSWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
87
DERRICK DEESE JR.TE SENO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
86
VINCENT CORSOWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
80
RAY SURRYWR —RET
UNR—00%——
37
DAVID MARTINEZWR —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON PARKSTE —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
48
GURDEEP CHOPRATE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS19 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
TYSYN PARKERHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
ANTWAUN AYERSHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
TRE WHITEHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
TERRELL CARTERHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
JESSE CHAMBERLAINHS RECRUITOG★3UNR
TYLER NEVENSHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
TRE WALKERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JOHNNY BALDERASHS RECRUITCB★3UNR
JAMAAR HARDYHS RECRUITDT★2UNR
AUSTIN LILESHS RECRUITWR★2UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT17 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DEONTAE COOPERNOT LISTED?UNR—
TIM CRAWLEYNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
BILLY FREEMANNOT LISTEDTEUNR—
NICK OREGLIANOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EVAN SARVERNOT LISTEDOTUNR—
SHANE SMITHNOT LISTEDRBUNR—
CHRISTIAN TAGONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
EUGENE TAYLORNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
ALEX MANIGONOT LISTEDLBUNR—
ISAIAH IRVINGNOT LISTEDDEUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#98NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 19 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7937COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKNEW
56TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
5
15
14
11
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-5 TO +6 W
IMPROVED25 OF 56
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTNO2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST32% BACK32th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG32% BACK32th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR16%16th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE