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● LIVE|2018 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2018TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
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F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2018 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD1-11|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE119 FPIMWC · 2018 SEASON
TALENT
36FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#940 BC / 23
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2018 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
1-11ACTUALvs2.6-9.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-1.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD0-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-15.3
1 wins against a scoring profile describing 2.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
52MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
4 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 30HUC DAVIS—L 38-44————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 8AWASHINGTON STATE#10L 0-31567676-64BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
3SEP 15AOREGON—L 22-35826969-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
5SEP 29HHAWAI'I—L 41-44132121-9BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
6OCT 6HCOLORADO STATE—L 30-42462222-10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 13HARMY#19L 3-5273636-24BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 20ASAN DIEGO STATE—L 13-16436464-52BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 27HUNLV—W 50-37311919-7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
10NOV 3AWYOMING—L 9-24164848-36BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 10AUTAH STATE#22L 24-62268585-73BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
12NOV 17HNEVADA—L 12-21374141-29BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
13NOV 24AFRESNO STATE#18L 13-31428888-76BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET97NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JOSH LOVEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
7
MONTEL AARONQB —RET
★3—00%——
14
MICHAEL CARRILLOQB SERET
UNR—00%——
14
JAKE SIMMONSQB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
16
CHANCE LACHAPPELLEQB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET95NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
21
DEJON PACKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
20
MALIKE ROBERSONRB SERET
UNR—00%——
33
MICHAEL HARRIS IIIRB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
CHANCE LACHAPELLERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
CHA LACHAPELLERB —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
23
TYLER NEVENSRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
BRENDAN MANIGORB JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
32
BRANDON MONROERB SERET
★2—00%——
33
JAMAR WILLIAMSRB SORET
★2—00%——
38
ROMERO TEURB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
HUNTER NYERB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
11
JAQUAN BLACKWELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
BILLY BOB HUMPHREYSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SITALEKI NUNNWR SONO SNAPS
★2—00%——
26
AUSTIN LILESWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
30
JACKSON BURRILLTE SERET
★2—00%——
10
TRE WALKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
22
THAI COTTRELLWR SERET
UNR—00%——
15
TRE HARTLEYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
9
JUSTIN HOLMESWR SERET
UNR—00%——
85
BRETT FOLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BAILEY GAITHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
89
JOSH OLIVERTE SERET
UNR—00%——
4
ANTWAUN AYERSWR FRRET
★3—00%——
1
JEREMY KELLYWR SERET
UNR—00%——
41
STEVEN HOUSTONWR JUNO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
87
DERRICK DEESE JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
86
VINCENT CORSOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
88
JACKSON PARKSTE —RET
★2—00%——
48
GURDEEP CHOPRATE —RET
UNR—00%——
87
DERRICK DEESE, JR.TE —NO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS23 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EJ ANEHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
MAX BARTHHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
ISAAK TOGIAHS RECRUITOLB★3UNR
JERMAINE BRADDOCKHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
ANTHONY PARDUEHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
VILIAMI FEHOKOHS RECRUITTE★3UNR
DIMITRI SAKALIAHS RECRUITWDE★3UNR
KAIREE ROBINSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANDREW JENKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
TRE JENKINSHS RECRUITS★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JERMAINE KELLYNFL DRAFT R7CBUNR—
MICHAEL CARRIZOSANOT LISTEDPUNR—
ANDRE CHACHERENOT LISTEDCBUNR—
NICO AIMONETTINOT LISTEDDEUNR—
WILLIAM OSSAINOT LISTEDLBUNR—
RAHSHEAD JOHNSONNOT LISTEDWRUNR—
MAURICE MCKNIGHTNOT LISTEDSUNR—
DAVID WILLIAMSNOT LISTEDSUNR—
FRANK GINDANOT LISTEDLBUNR—
TREVON BIERRIANOT LISTEDSUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#94NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 23 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.7906COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING60% OR MOREQUARTERBACKRETURNS
119TEAMS
MATCHED THIS+0.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
11
16
38
33
21
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-1.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-7 TO +9 W
IMPROVED54 OF 119
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST97% BACK97th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG97% BACK97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR97%97th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE