SCOUTTEAM
● LIVE|2019 SEASON|FBS PERCENTILES|
HOME›TEAMS›SAN JOSÉ STATE›2019TWO METERS, NEVER RAW SNAPS
SITE
F1SLATEF2LEADERSF3TEAMSF4PORTALF5RECRUIT
SEASON
20262025202420232022
PROVENANCE
RET — RETURNING
LAST YR ≈
PORTAL
UNR — UNRATED
SEASONRECORD & ROSTER
VINTAGE2019 FINAL
MOUNTAIN WEST|BRENT BRENNAN|—RECORD5-7|CONF—
SAN JOSÉ STATE103 FPIMWC · 2019 SEASON
TALENT
31FBS PCTL
RET · OFFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
RET · DEFENSE
—SNAPS BACK
PORTAL NET
0IN MINUS OUT
CLASS
#1180 BC / 16
BC RATIO
0%UNDER
IS THE RECORD REAL2019 · FULL SEASON
RECORD UNDERSTATES
5-7ACTUALvs5.6-6.4FROM SCORING
GAP TO SCORING-0.6 W
ONE SCORE RECORD3-3
AVG SCORING MARGIN-1.8
5 wins against a scoring profile describing 5.6. Both are facts about the same season; which one a market has priced is the reader's question.
UNIT GRADESPARTS KEPT SEPARATE
OFFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
DEFENSE—
PERFORMANCE0
TALENT0
CONTINUITY0
SCHEDULE AS EVIDENCE12 PLAYED · 0 REMAINING · OPPONENT QUALITY AS FBS PERCENTILES
BEATEN OPPONENT QUALITY
39MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
REMAINING OPPONENT QUALITY
—MEAN COMPOSITE PCTL
QUALITY SWING
—REMAINING vs BEATEN
RANKED OPPONENTS
2 / 0PLAYED / REMAINING
WK
DATE
H/A
OPPONENT
RK
RESULT
TAL
PERF
COMP
EDGE
READING
1AUG 29HNORTHERN COLORADO—W 35-18————NON-FBS OPPONENT
2SEP 7HTULSA—L 16-34314444-20BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
4SEP 21AARKANSAS—W 31-24821717+7BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
5SEP 27AAIR FORCE#22L 24-4158181-57BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
6OCT 4HNEW MEXICO—W 32-212599+15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
7OCT 12ANEVADA—L 38-41371414+10BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
8OCT 19HSAN DIEGO STATE—L 17-27455858-34BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
9OCT 26AARMY—W 34-2974545-21BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
10NOV 2HBOISE STATE#23L 42-52527272-48BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
11NOV 9AHAWAI'I—L 40-42294747-23BEAT A TOP-HALF SIDE
13NOV 23AUNLV—L 35-383888+16BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
14NOV 30HFRESNO STATE—W 17-16403939-15BEAT A BOTTOM-HALF SIDE
TAL / PERF / COMP DESCRIBE THE OPPONENT — A HIGH NUMBER IS A HARDER GAME, NOT A BETTER ONEEDGE IS THIS TEAM MINUS THE OPPONENT AND READS HIGH-IS-GOOD
POSITION ROOMS BY USAGE SHAREEXPAND ALL
▾QB—TAL0PERF0RET65NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
12
JOSH LOVEQB SERET
UNR—00%——
16
ALEC TRUJILLOQB JUNO SNAPS
★3★200%—FELL
14
JAKE SIMMONSQB JURET
UNR—00%——
14
MATT DER TOROSSIANQB FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
▾RB—TAL0PERF0RET71NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
32
KAIREE ROBINSONRB SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
21
DEJON PACKERRB SERET
UNR—00%——
36
HUNTER NYERB SERET
UNR—00%——
23
TYLER NEVENSRB SERET
★3—00%——
33
BRENDAN MANIGORB JURET
UNR—00%——
29
ADI ANDERSONRB FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
44
BEAUX TAGALOAFB JUNO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
38
ROMERO TEURB SERET
UNR—00%——
▾WR/TE—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
#
PLAYER
★HS
★PT
USAGE PCTL
ROOM SHARE
vsCOH
TRAJ
3
NICK NASHWR SENO SNAPS
★2★400%—ROSE
11
JAQUAN BLACKWELLWR JURET
UNR—00%——
81
BILLY BOB HUMPHREYSTE SERET
UNR—00%——
17
SITALEKI NUNNWR SORET
★2—00%——
10
TRE WALKERWR SERET
★3—00%——
85
BRETT FOLEYTE SERET
UNR—00%——
84
BAILEY GAITHERWR SERET
UNR—00%——
13
JERMAINE BRADDOCKWR SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
87
DERRICK DEESE JR.TE SERET
UNR—00%——
9
ISAIAH HAMILTONWR SENO SNAPS
★2★300%—ROSE
84
ISAIAH HOLINESSWR JUNO SNAPS
★2—00%——
9
ANDRE CRUMP JR.WR JUNO SNAPS
★3—00%——
26
AUSTIN LILESWR SERET
UNR★200%—EMERGED
30
JACKSON BURRILLTE SERET
★2—00%——
41
STEVEN HOUSTONWR JURET
UNR—00%——
83
ISAC VELASQUEZWR FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
81
DOMINICK MAZOTTITE SENO SNAPS
★3★300%—HELD
12
MALIKHI MILLERWR SENO SNAPS
★3—00%——
86
VINCENT CORSOWR JURET
UNR—00%——
8
CHANCE LA CHAPELLEWR SONO SNAPS
UNR—00%——
21
JAMAR SIMPSONWR FRTRUE FR
★3—00%——
49
NOAH SANCHEZTE FRTRUE FR
UNR—00%——
17
SITALEKI NUNNWR —NO SNAPS
★2—00%——
87
DERRICK DEESE, JR.TE —RET
UNR—00%——
▸OL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DL—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸LB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
▸DB—TAL0PERF0RET0NOT GRADED · TOO LITTLE MEASURED PLAY
ROSTER MOVEMENTNET PORTAL QUALITY +2 BLUE CHIP
RECRUITS16 SIGNEES
PLAYER
CLASS
ROOM
★HS
★PT
DOMINICK MAZOTTIHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
B.J. JOHNSONHS RECRUITATH★3UNR
STAN LIVINGSTONE JR.HS RECRUITCB★3UNR
MALIKHI MILLERHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
JUSTIN SCREMPOSHS RECRUITOT★3UNR
WILLIAM VEHIKITEHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
ALEC TRUJILLOHS RECRUITPRO★3UNR
ADI ANDERSONHS RECRUITRB★3UNR
ANDRE CRUMPHS RECRUITWR★3UNR
BEAUX TAGALOAHS RECRUITDT★3UNR
HIGH SCHOOL SIGNEES — A PEDIGREE AND NO COLLEGE SNAP BEHIND IT
PORTAL IN0 ARRIVALS
PLAYER
FROM
ROOM
★HS
★PT
EVERY ARRIVAL'S PARTICIPATION WAS EARNED AT THE SCHOOL NAMED, NOT HERE
OUT19 DEPARTURES
PLAYER
TO
ROOM
★HS
★PT
JOSH OLIVERNFL DRAFT R3TEUNR—
DAKARI MONROEELIGIBILITY UPCBUNR—
JAKE COLMANELIGIBILITY UPOLUNR—
THAI COTTRELLELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
TRE HARTLEYELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
JUSTIN HOLMESELIGIBILITY UPWRUNR—
OWEN ROBERTSELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
JAMAL SCOTTELIGIBILITY UPLB★3—
BRYSON BRIDGESELIGIBILITY UPDTUNR—
BRYCE CRAWFORDELIGIBILITY UPPKUNR—
EACH ROW CARRIES THE DOOR HE LEFT BY · DRAFT AND PORTAL ARE RECORDED FACTS · ELIGIBILITY IS AN INFERENCE FROM A SENIOR WITH NO OTHER TRACE
VACATED OPPORTUNITYUNCLAIMED SHARE BY ROOM
CLASS RANK
#118NATIONAL
BLUE CHIPS
0OF 16 SIGNEES
MEAN RATING
0.8029COMPOSITE
PORTAL ADDS
00 OUT
COMPARABLE TEAM OUTCOMESMATCHED TEAM SEASONS
TALENT3RD QUARTILERETURNING40–60%QUARTERBACKRETURNS
32TEAMS
MATCHED THIS-1.0MEDIAN NEXT-SEASON
WIN CHANGE
4
8
9
5
6
−4 OR WORSE−3 TO −2−1 TO 0+1 TO +2+3 OR MORE
INTERQUARTILE RANGE-2.0 TO +2.0 W
FULL RANGE-6 TO +5 W
IMPROVED11 OF 32
A LOOKUP OF EVERY MATCHED TEAM SEASON · THE SPREAD IS AS MUCH OF THE FACT AS THE MEDIAN
HISTORICAL OUTCOMESMEASURED 2017-2025 · VALIDATED RELATIONSHIPS ONLY, WITH FAILURES MARKED
STATUS
PRESEASON FACT
HISTORICAL CONSEQUENCE
HOW STRONG
THIS TEAM
SEASONS
VALIDATEDQB CAREER STARTSAn experienced incoming starter went with a stronger finishing ratingMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → PASSINGReturning the starting quarterback preceded a better passing gameMODESTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDQB RETURNS → WINSReturning the starting quarterback went with more wins, not just better passingSLIGHTYES2017-2025
VALIDATEDRETURNING PRODUCTIONTeams that returned more of their production won more games the next seasonMODEST56% BACK56th PCTL2017-2025
VALIDATEDQUALITY OF WHAT RETURNSTeams whose returning players had been better finished the season strongerREPLACES how much production returned (r=+0.12)STRONG56% BACK56th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR OFFENSIVE LINE GRADEA better offensive line room went with a better offence the next seasonREPLACES how much of the offensive line returned (r=+0.06)CLEAR—2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR QUARTERBACK GRADEA better quarterback room went with a better passing game the next seasonREPLACES whether the quarterback returned (r=+0.14)CLEAR65%65th PCTL2023-2025
VALIDATEDPRIOR SECONDARY GRADEA better secondary went with fewer points allowed per play the next seasonREPLACES how much of the secondary returned (r=-0.06)MODEST—2023-2025
EVERY ROW HERE SURVIVED PRE-REGISTERED VALIDATION · RELATIONSHIPS THAT WERE CHECKED AND FOUND NOTHING ARE MEASURED AND STORED BUT NOT DRAWN · “THIS TEAM” IS ITS OWN FIGURE FOR THE FACT
PARTICIPATION IS ALWAYS THE TWO METERS — NATIONAL USAGE PERCENTILE AND SHARE OF THE ROOM · RAW SNAP AND VENDOR TRACKING COUNTS ARE NEVER SHOWN · EVERY PERCENTILE READS HIGH IS GOOD
UNR MEANS UNRATED OUT OF HIGH SCHOOL · A DASH MEANS ABSENT WITH ITS REASON IN THE TOOLTIP (NO PRIOR SEASON, NO RATED CYCLES, NO ROWS FOR THIS TEAM) AND IS NEVER INTERPOLATED
LAST YR ≈ MEANS THE METERS CARRY FROM LAST SEASON · PORTAL MARKS PARTICIPATION EARNED AT THE NAMED SCHOOL · ROOM GRADES SUM INTO THE UNIT GRADES · THESE ARE THE SAME CENSUS FACTS THE GAME CENTER TEAM TAB SHOWS
NO PROJECTIONS ON THIS PAGE